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Rise of AI in supervision
Use of artificial intelligence in supervision has surged from around a quarter of institutions in the 2025 benchmark to three-quarters in 2026. The foremost area of AI application among supervisors is summarisation (62.9%). Over half of respondents also indicated use of the technology for document preparation (57.1%). Larger supervisory teams are more likely to deploy AI tools.
AI impact and usage growing in central bank economics departments
Regional variation exists, but adoption is increasing across the board
Most key projection models capture policy rates
But respondents rarely disclose policy rate forecasts alongside scenarios
Third of key models now employ endogenous financial sector
Multiple channels of monetary transmission rooted in majority models
Central banks complement traditional models with AI
Time series and semi-structural models remain economists’ choices for forecasting