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Rise of AI in supervision
Use of artificial intelligence in supervision has surged from around a quarter of institutions in the 2025 benchmark to three-quarters in 2026. The foremost area of AI application among supervisors is summarisation (62.9%). Over half of respondents also indicated use of the technology for document preparation (57.1%). Larger supervisory teams are more likely to deploy AI tools.
Third of key models now employ endogenous financial sector
Multiple channels of monetary transmission rooted in majority models
Central banks complement traditional models with AI
Time series and semi-structural models remain economists’ choices for forecasting
Working paper production linked to number of PhD economists
Central banks averaged output of roughly 10 working papers last year
Third of economics departments say staffing ‘barely sufficient’
Forecasting, policy analysis and research are economists’ top duties