Economics
Canadian governor sees ‘robust’ recovery in third quarter
Poloz says major shock to growth will probably be followed by “swift” recovery
IMF approves $1.4 billion transfer for Pakistan
Aid should be used to finance budget and bolster foreign reserves, IMF executive board says
Trump’s NAFTA replacement could harm car production – Dallas Fed research
Authors say Mexico could face biggest loss from USMCA deal
The Belt and Road Initiative 2020 Survey – A more sustainable road to growth?
The third annual Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) survey reveals that central banks view BRI investment as sustainable compared with other forms of external debt, particularly given it is often proportionally less significant. Despite growing global trade…
IMF urges countries to use fiscal firepower against Covid-19
“Do whatever it takes, but make sure to keep the receipts,” says IMF fiscal chief
IMF projects deepest recession since Great Depression
Global growth could contract by between -3% and -6% this year, World Economic Outlook shows
US must overhaul statistics to fight coronavirus – Minneapolis Fed paper
New methods, laws and cross-sector agreements are necessary to support real-time data analysis, research says
The IFF China Report 2020: China’s opening-up
Extending from east to west, China’s Belt and Road Initiative now encompasses as much as 65% of the world’s countries and a significant portion of global GDP. When first announced, investment was primarily targeted at transport infrastructure – but this…
Transfer season
Trade frictions with the US have caused a mass industrial transfer to China’s neighbours. Zhou Chengjun, IFF Academic Committee member and inspector of the Macro‑prudential Policy Bureau of the People’s Bank of China, says that shouldn’t stop China…
Crises enliven ‘totalitarian temptations’
Coronavirus pandemic will embolden government ‘power grabs’
World Bank says sub-Saharan Africa destined for first recession in 25 years
Growth could fall as low as -5.1% as largest economies struggle with Covid-19 repercussions
BIS paper finds little evidence of ‘liquidity trap’
Monetary policy remains effective even very close to the lower bound, economists find
Kosovan central bank rolling out response to coronavirus shock
Governor Fehmi Mehmeti says economy is vulnerable but the central bank is taking action
Banque de France predicts 6% economic contraction
Confinement laws have had a significant impact on activity
Is the ESM the eurozone’s best weapon against Covid-19?
Eurobonds face economic and political hurdles, say former officials
The IFF China Report 2020: Financial stability
When US President Donald Trump introduced tariffs on Chinese exports in 2018 it upset the world order and dampened economic growth. China responded in force, asking its firms to find alternative sellers for US exports. As a result, it has bought…
The long march to global growth
Liang Tao, vice-chairman of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, says that China’s growth is fuelling innovation and modernisation, but financial regulation and governance needs to be tightened up for China to take its place at the top…
Malaysian central bank says economy likely to shrink
Bank Negara Malaysia says pandemic already having “significant impact”
US jobless claims eclipse previous week’s record high
Economy will require more fiscal support, say current and former senior government officials
Cares Act a very good start, but US may need bigger fiscal response – Rosengren
Boston Fed president warns pandemic could have significant impact on real estate market
IMF programmes must not get too large – Bundesbank paper
Preferred creditor status can lead to large-scale IMF operations crowding out private investors
East Asian economies face ‘profound’ impact from Covid-19 – World Bank
Report estimates growth could turn negative for the region in “lower-case” scenario
Covid-19 uncertainty to have long-lasting impact – SF Fed paper
Inflation may turn negative over the near and medium term, researchers estimate
Covid-19 macro effects could last 40 years – research
Research from University of California says natural rate could take decades to return to normal