Economics
Central banks need caution in easing policy, IMF says
World Economic Outlook says most indicators still point to soft landing
Taking stock of Bernanke: the original sin of forecasting
Jagjit Chadha says the Bernanke review of forecasting should be the start of a more profound discussion at the Bank of England
Bernanke calls for total redesign of BoE forecasting
Report calls for major changes to infrastructure, core models, staffing, communications and more
Bank of England: time for fourth-generation forecasting tools?
Economists suggest ways to improve BoE’s framework ahead of Bernanke’s report
Low growth threatens to reverse living standards – IMF
AI will drive growth but also increase inequalities, fund says
Long-term inflationary pressure set to rise, research finds
Changed environment makes central banks’ task harder, Kenneth Rogoff and other researchers say
BoE plans upgrades to data collection process
Overhaul includes work on validation, communications with firms and common data standards
Federal Reserve posts largest operating loss ever
As of March 21, the Fed owed $157.8 billion to an accounting device, a “deferred asset”
Dallas Fed analysis explains puzzle of strong US economy
Authors say US has enjoyed favourable supply-side conditions that others missed out on
IMF chief urges China to adopt pro-market reforms
Comprehensive reforms could add $3.5 trillion to economy over next 15 years, Georgieva says
ECB to explore nature-related risk in environmental plan
Climate change and biodegradation are “two sides of the same coin”
BoE paper models impact of fossil fuel ban
Degree to which renewables could replace petrol and gas would be key factor, research says
Current US wage trends may be here to stay – NY Fed research
Researchers present new tools for predicting wage growth in US
New study finds uneven impact of changing energy costs
Energy prices more likely to affect product prices than wage increases
Expect more soft landings – Dallas Fed study
Nature of current job vacancies in US is helping to keep unemployment levels stable, research finds
BIS research points to ‘slower disinflation ahead’
Breakdown of post-Covid surge finds services prices playing bigger role
Minimum reserves are stabilising force – Bank of Italy study
Paper compares different mechanisms and their utility in floor and corridor regimes
Natural rate is rising in US and eurozone, BIS study finds
Research adds to debate on metric but warns it is “blurry guidepost” for monetary policy
China sets 5% growth target
Economists question whether government can achieve GDP goal, given weakness in economy
Supply shocks driving eurozone inflation, ECB study finds
Rising food and energy costs are main contributors, along with hangover effects from pandemic
‘Cost of money’ explains depressed US consumers – NBER research
Larry Summers and co-authors highlight “disconnect in inflation measurement”