Economics
Long-term inflationary pressure set to rise, research finds
Changed environment makes central banks’ task harder, Kenneth Rogoff and other researchers say
BoE plans upgrades to data collection process
Overhaul includes work on validation, communications with firms and common data standards
Federal Reserve posts largest operating loss ever
As of March 21, the Fed owed $157.8 billion to an accounting device, a “deferred asset”
Dallas Fed analysis explains puzzle of strong US economy
Authors say US has enjoyed favourable supply-side conditions that others missed out on
IMF chief urges China to adopt pro-market reforms
Comprehensive reforms could add $3.5 trillion to economy over next 15 years, Georgieva says
ECB to explore nature-related risk in environmental plan
Climate change and biodegradation are “two sides of the same coin”
BoE paper models impact of fossil fuel ban
Degree to which renewables could replace petrol and gas would be key factor, research says
Current US wage trends may be here to stay – NY Fed research
Researchers present new tools for predicting wage growth in US
New study finds uneven impact of changing energy costs
Energy prices more likely to affect product prices than wage increases
Expect more soft landings – Dallas Fed study
Nature of current job vacancies in US is helping to keep unemployment levels stable, research finds
BIS research points to ‘slower disinflation ahead’
Breakdown of post-Covid surge finds services prices playing bigger role
Minimum reserves are stabilising force – Bank of Italy study
Paper compares different mechanisms and their utility in floor and corridor regimes
Natural rate is rising in US and eurozone, BIS study finds
Research adds to debate on metric but warns it is “blurry guidepost” for monetary policy
China sets 5% growth target
Economists question whether government can achieve GDP goal, given weakness in economy
Supply shocks driving eurozone inflation, ECB study finds
Rising food and energy costs are main contributors, along with hangover effects from pandemic
‘Cost of money’ explains depressed US consumers – NBER research
Larry Summers and co-authors highlight “disconnect in inflation measurement”
Philly Fed study shows growth in ‘buy now, pay later’ products
Users of deferred-payment schemes are generally people in financial difficulty, say authors
Pandemic inflation fuelled by food and energy prices – BoJ study
Inflation in Japan and US driven by similar product market shocks, research finds
RBI challenges IMF’s call for larger fiscal consolidation
Study argues bigger budget cuts not necessary if government focuses on development spending
Global house prices close to bottoming out, BIS stats show
Economists puzzle over absence of sharper correction
Inflation memories pass from parents to children – research
Fear of hyperinflation influences behaviour across generational divides
Bailey hints at possible outcome of Bernanke review
Bank of England may present range of scenarios around central forecast
Profit now key driver of inflation, BIS research finds
Recent surge in prices “fundamentally different” to that of the 1970s
Escaping the structural liquidity trap
Investment needs to be subsidised not taxed if developed countries want to avoid inflation and financial crises, writes Andrew Smithers