Economics
Fed's monetary policy ‘spillbacks’ have significant effects – ECB paper
Researchers estimate how impact of Fed policy on foreign economies in turn affects US
Mervyn King attacks central bank theories of inflation
Expectations are “too fragile” to serve as an anchor for inflation, former BoE governor says
PBoC hints at tilt to easier policy as growth slows
Third-quarter monetary policy report tweaked phrases, downplaying opposition to easy policy
OECD’s total GDP surpasses pre-pandemic level
Organisation says many countries’ GDP still lags behind, and growth is now slowing
ECB paper examines exchange rates and household consumption
Exchange rate elasticity of household consumption driven largely by industrial goods - researchers
Vietnam’s central bank warns of high inflation risk in 2022
Governor Nguyen Thi Hong admits bad debts have increased, as banks struggle with impact of Covid
Swedish inflation rose further in October
CPIF increased year on year by 3.1% last month; Riksbank expected to reduce balance sheet
BIS statistics: OTC derivatives market value back to 2019 levels
Gross market values have fallen about a fifth since second half of 2020
‘Bullwhip effects’ worsening supply problems – BIS bulletin
Direct inflationary impact likely to be limited, but “sustained pressures” are possible, economists say
US records highest CPI inflation rise since 1990
NY Fed detects slight rise in short-term consumer inflation expectations as real wages fall
New York Fed opens new research centre
Marco Del Negro will lead work on research methods and issues in macroeconomics
GDP-linked bonds unlikely to ‘tame debt’ – BdF paper
Linking sovereign bonds to GDP would not necessarily improve debt ratios, researchers find
US adds more than half a million jobs in October
Unemployment falls to 4.6% as labour market perks up again
NGFS’s climate stress tests bolstered by new macroeconomic modelling
NiGem model will help central banks better understand economic transmission channels
Bank of Israel calls on divided parliament to pass budget
Central bank stresses it includes key investments to boost productivity and growth
Eurozone inflation expected to hit 4.1% in October
Figure would be joint highest reading since the single currency was introduced
Fed board member says US community banks under threat
Michelle Bowman says smaller community institutions play vital role for ethnic minorities
Biden stimulus will cause small, short price spike, says paper
San Francisco Fed predicts American Rescue Plan will boost inflation by 0.3%
Forecaster surveys improve eurozone inflation modelling – ECB paper
Households’ and firms’ expectations do not provide useful data on inflation
Delta variant had smaller impact on US consumer spending
Cleveland Fed finds weaker or no link between hospitalisation and spending in 2021
ECB paper examines ‘euroised’ economies
European countries’ informal adoption of euro places limits on central banks, says working paper
PBoC suffers headaches from growth, energy and Evergrande
Yi Gang mulls property sector risks, as China’s growth hits one-year low
Hiking rates before asset sales may constrict credit – paper
Kansas City Fed research says raising the fed funds rate first may cause yield curve inversion