Economics
ECB paper uses RCT data on inflation expectations
Consumers’ level of attention is determined by economic environment, research finds
Hungarian minister calls central bank ‘unco-operative’
MNB’s critique of government strategy draws official’s rebuke
Profit inflation and monetary policy: weighing the evidence
Biagio Bossone says profit inflation needs monetary ‘fuel’ to rise – but fiscal policy is the best fix, should governments have the ‘guts’
Credit rating agency failures continue despite EU reforms, paper finds
Bond issuers are still “shopping” for good ratings, ECB paper says
Fed paper looks at US opioids crisis
Banks are causing credit contraction in worst-affected communities, researchers say
QE helped smooth sovereign bond yields, ECB paper finds
Eurosystem’s asset purchases helped reduce effect of “auction cycle”, researcher says
Neutral interest rate likely to rise, paper finds
Several factors are pushing rate upwards, Bank of Canada researchers say
Uneven US innovation could increase inequality – research
St Louis Fed economist documents rising patent concentration by area
Fed releases guidance on third-party services
Fed board warns of possible operational, compliance, financial and strategic risks
Banxico paper probes forced labour’s lingering effects in Ecuador
High forced labour involvement is associated with decreased descendants’ income
Danish central bank warns over interest-only mortgages
Amortisation requirements for “riskiest loans” may reduce housing volatility, report says
Neutral interest rates at pre-pandemic levels, Bank of Canada finds
Nominal neutral interest rates in both countries sit between 2.25% and 3.25%
Oil shocks can be identified in real time, paper says
Bank of Italy researchers’ model identifies demand and supply shocks from daily data
Dollar less popular for services trade than for goods – ECB paper
Large firms prefer sticking to the US currency, research finds
Fed policy has more effect during US recessions, ECB paper finds
Researchers use non-linear methods to examine effects of FOMC shocks
US news has a large impact on global bond yields – research
Bank of Canada research finds US news affects expectations in other countries
Mexico needs reform to fulfil potential – Dallas Fed paper
Anti-trust measures, easier market entry and FDI should aid growth, researchers say
Energy shocks create monetary policy trade-off, paper says
Rate-setters should consider energy prices’ impact on jobless, Bank of Italy paper finds
Generative AI’s impact on inflation unclear – BIS study
Inflation could worsen if people anticipate jump in productivity, authors say
Schnabel: ECB could replace central forecast scenario
ECB should consider using alternative scenarios and dot plots to convey uncertainty, official says
European banks less likely to lend to green firms, says ECB paper
Public guarantee loans can help lower-carbon firms access bank credit, research finds
Fed policy-makers disagree over risks
Williams and Goolsbee say policy is restrictive but Logan takes different view
High interest puts pressure on US cattle farms – research
Wildfires and rising input prices are exacerbating factors, Kansas City Fed research says