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BIS paper models fiscal influence on monetary policy

Researchers propose alternative mechanism to fiscal theory of the price level

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New research proposes a way by which economists can model the increasing pressure on monetary policy-makers from ballooning government debt.

The working paper, published on February 2 by the Bank for International Settlements, outlines a non-linear new Keynesian model with a fiscal constraint that occasionally binds, creating a ceiling for the policy rate.

Authors Hanno Kase, Leonardo Melosi, Sebastian Rast and Matthias Rottner note that high debt burdens worldwide have coincided with “renewed

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