Economics
BoK examines South Korea’s post-Covid jobs recovery
Research points to rebound in services and employees’ desire for greater work-life balance
Fed governor bolsters hopes for rate cuts in 2024
Strong state of US economy means there is no need to rush, argues Christopher Waller
Risks persist in China’s economy despite growth, analysts say
Property sector woes, youth unemployment and falling population all cited as long-term challenges
Bank of Italy paper examines within-firm estimation strategy
Credit interdependence means standard estimates of shocks’ effects are biased , authors find
RBI deputy calls on government to tackle bankruptcy backlog
Courts are struggling to deal with caseload, putting progress on credit quality at risk, official says
Millions of South Korean workers face AI replacement – research
Workers with higher incomes and education are more at risk, Bank of Korea paper says
Monetary policy likely to be weak climate tool – Bank of Spain paper
Model finds central banks are likely to prioritise price stability over reducing carbon emissions
Fed paper presents new way to measure consumer welfare
Consumer preferences change in line with incomes, researcher argues
CBDCs are subject to ‘trilemma’, ECB paper warns
Research builds on Diamond-Dybvig model to examine possibility of runs on central banks
Cash transfers cause persistent jobs boost in Brazil, research finds
San Fran Fed paper argues previous research neglected effects on informal employment
Bundesbank paper looks at core inflation uncertainty
Higher uncertainty over inflation acts like positive demand shock, researchers find
Bundesbank paper looks at role of carbon emissions disclosures
Obliging firms to increase transparency boosts low-carbon investment, researchers find
Researchers warn US vacancies are ‘untethered’ from other data
Minneapolis Fed economists say US could face “more substantial job losses”
ECB paper examines firms’ response to carbon trading
Policy-makers should use subsidies for green innovation alongside carbon credits, researchers argue
DNB paper examines robustness of monetary policy
Policy must avoid tail risks caused by central banks’ uncertainty over output gap, researchers argue
The risks facing the Chinese economy
China isn’t at risk of a financial meltdown, but it does face a slow puncture, writes Michael Taylor
ECB paper examines largest currency areas’ policy spillovers
Researchers study how foreign monetary policy shocks affect US, eurozone and Japan
Leaders are key to adopting technology, RBA study finds
Australian firms use GPT better if executives have tech background or are female, research says
Eurozone inflation affects fiscal policy, ECB paper finds
Authors say there is evidence of “turning point” for inflation’s impact on primary fiscal balances
ECB paper analyses indirect channels of interbank contagion
Eurozone’s interbank market vulnerable to sovereign debt and non-bank sector shocks, research finds
Memory shapes inflation expectations, study finds
People who remember high inflation also trust the central bank less, authors say
Economics Benchmarks 2023 – model banks analysis
Data reveals differences in research, forecasting and data use across central banks
Monetary policy helped curb inflation expectations – research
Higher rates could achieve a “soft landing” if the expectations channel is strong enough, authors say