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Net zero transition could boost productivity – BoE paper

Impact of carbon tax depends partly on spillovers from green technology, economists say

Wind turbines and coal-fired power station

The transition to net zero carbon emissions could raise productivity in the UK even though it would reduce GDP in the short run, a paper published on February 13 by the Bank of England finds.

The authors – Sandra Batten and Stephen Millard – develop a model of a small open economy with energy available from either fossil fuels or renewable sources. They then impose a carbon tax on the model economy and track how the effects play out over time.

The working paper shows that the tax reduces GDP in

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