Macroeconomics
G20 agrees ‘common framework’ on debt relief
Leaders welcome decision, but criticise private sector for failure to act
Zambia prepares for debt default
Talks on payment freeze fail as G20 prepares to debate further debt relief
BoE paper offers solution to ‘paradox of flexibility’
Using shadow rate can avoid anomalous results at zero lower bound, authors say
BIS paper warns economies may stagnate after Covid-19
Author models the structural changes brought about by the coronavirus pandemic
Book notes: Austerity, by Alberto Alesina, Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi
When it works and when it doesn’t; every chapter is thorough, informative and persuasive
Sri Lanka central bank sees signs of ‘strong recovery’
Signs of bounce-back in the economy but recent surge in virus cases could cause problems
Fed eases terms on emergency facility as uncertainty rises
High-frequency indicators suggest US recovery is slowing amid resurgence of virus cases
Fed paper presents model of Covid-19 trade-offs
Data-driven model implies lockdown can work if a vaccine can be developed quickly enough
Maggiori, Neiman and Schreger on capital flows and Covid-19
The Global Capital Allocation Project sheds light on where vulnerabilities may lie
Haldane explores long-term consequences of home working
Welfare impact seems broadly positive, but it is uneven and may not last, says BoE chief economist
Lagarde and Weidmann clash over EU recovery fund
ECB president wants it to become a permanent fiscal tool, Bundesbank president thinks it should remain a one-off
Information drives transatlantic policy spillovers – ECB paper
Tighter ECB policy often causes financial easing in US due to “information effect”, researcher argues
Bankruptcies could trigger ‘protracted’ unemployment – BIS research
Reallocating resources quickly will help reduce the pain of adjustment, economists say
IMF warns of permanent economic damage from Covid-19
Pandemic could pitch 90 million people back into extreme poverty, fund says in new economic outlook
Bank of Finland research looks at ECB’s effects on eurozone equities
Researcher says eurozone monetary easing has raised eurozone equities’ expected risk premia
Sticky prices play key role in monetary policy responses – ECB paper
Author finds different US industries’ react very differently to monetary policy decisions
‘Combination’ forecasts can beat standard methods – RBI paper
Traditional inflation-output relationship seems “broken”, authors say
Fed’s Quarles ‘optimistic’ on economic outlook
Second wave of Covid-19 cases should be more manageable than the first, Fed vice-chair says
IMF staffers warn of looming sovereign debt crises
Governments and markets should agree to extend bond maturities, IMF says
Supply curves may be convex – ECB paper
Findings imply that Phillips curve is convex and fiscal policy is state-dependent, authors say
Deep learning can beat other forecast methods – Bank of Korea research
Deep learning models have smaller margin of error than conventional methods, research finds
BoE officials fear long-term ‘scarring’ as uncertainty hits record high
MPC members broadly gloomy on the outlook, but there is “huge” uncertainty, says Andrew Bailey
BIS paper studies lifecycle of zombie companies
Number of zombie firms has risen substantially, and their future prospects are not good, authors say
Uncertainty hampering Fed’s and Congress’s stimulus
Research says uncertain outlook created by pandemic has been a key contributor to size of recession