Macroeconomics
ECB unveils richer eurozone forecasting model
“NAWM II” models financial sector’s role in originating and propagating economic shocks
Atlanta Fed launches new rental market data tool
“Affordability tracker shows many households struggle to find affordable housing”
Can central bank revamp help Tunisia remain a ‘public good’?
Central Bank of Tunisia moves to modernise, but faces tough times ahead
Africa at risk from faster policy normalisation – Kenya’s Nyaoga
Higher interest rates could threaten portfolio inflows for a region struggling with price rises
Tunisia’s El Abassi on central banking during a regional security crisis
Central Bank of Tunisia governor talks about capacity building, fintech and relations with the IMF
IMF calls for fiscal consolidation in anticipation of next crisis
As global financial conditions tighten, emerging economies record higher corporate and sovereign debt
Haldane examines ‘puzzling pattern’ of weak wage growth
Average weekly wages are now lower than before the crisis, in real terms
Globalisation becomes more divisive as it advances – Dani Rodrik
Harvard economist says gains from trade may not outweigh redistributive problems
Market power, intangibles and risk premia behind low risk-free rates – paper
Brookings paper questions savings glut and technological slowdown hypotheses
IMF warns low-income countries about higher debt risks
Increased exposure to non-traditional lenders could increase rates and shorten maturities
Book notes: The other half of macroeconomics, by Richard Koo
Richard Koo’s latest book updates his work on balance sheet recessions
Denmark should avoid fiscal stimulus to preserve balanced recovery – central bank
Government should be ready to tighten public spending to prevent the economy from overheating
Juan José Echavarría on Colombia’s path to sounder monetary and economic policy
Colombian governor talks about policy efforts to promote stability, importance of independence and implications of Venezuelan economic collapse
Automation of financial services poses problem for labour market
Central bankers fear labour market may not recover as quickly as during previous technological revolutions
Carney warns no-deal Brexit would squeeze real income
Governor informs Treasury Committee of household “real income squeeze” in the event of a no-deal Brexit
Inattention helps explain flat Phillips curve – Fed paper
Inflation may be less sensitive to shocks because people are not paying attention, authors say
Weidmann urges Greece to implement further reforms
Deutsche Bundesbank president recommends additional reforms and “sound” fiscal policy
Thailand’s macroeconomic policy at a ‘turning point’ – Santiprabhob
Policy will have to evolve to support the economy rather than stimulate it, governor says
Global crisis uncertainty harmed investment – BoE paper
Authors say their results offer a benchmark for possible Brexit-related uncertainty
IMF authors dismiss global Phillips curve as euro inflation driver
Domestic factors largely behind “remarkably stable” inflation in eurozone
Jackson Hole: policy-makers come to defence of disruption
Poloz and Carstens highlight benefits of technological and trade disruption
Haldane: market power puzzle is important for policy
Micro and macro evidence “not easily reconciled”, says BoE chief economist
West Bank weakness drives economic slowdown in Palestine
Palestine Monetary Authority notes “significant drop” in West Bank conditions index
Turkish lira down 22% as crisis builds
Lira collapses and bond yields soar as Donald Trump unveils fresh sanctions