Macroeconomics
Argentine central bank debt poses major risks, analyst says
Moody’s analyst says central bank faces macroeconomic crisis as short-term debt rises
Belarus’s governor predicts inflation will fall
Government imposed price controls after sanctions helped push inflation into double digits
ADB gives crisis-hit Pakistan $1.5 billion loan
Asian Development Bank extends aid as extensive floods add to major economic problems
US CPI inflation remains high
Headline reading falls slightly, while core inflation continues to rise
IMF opens long-term lending initiative
Resilience and Sustainability Trust will offer 20-year packages to mitigate long-term problems
Georgieva says Argentina needs permanent fix to FX problems
IMF releases latest $3.8bn financing tranche, as market inflation forecasts reach 100%
IMF publishes sober outlook for 2023
“Worst is yet to come”, says chief economist
IMF approves $3.8 billion for Argentina
Country has met most key targets, but 2022 inflation now projected to top 100%
IMF warns UK government as pound resumes fall
BoE’s Huw Pill signals need for “significant monetary policy response” to government spending plan
Old people hit hardest by inflation, research finds
Authors find income effects and “Fisher channel” have the biggest impact on Spanish households
IMF paper explores second-round effects of oil shocks
Authors find oil shocks have greater impact where inflation is already high
US CPI inflation falls modestly
New York Fed reports “steep declines” in inflation expectations, but core CPI ticks up
Central banks will be ‘tested’ by long-term inflation – BIS’s Borio
Persistent inflationary forces could bring central banks into conflict with government, official says
IMF signs off on $1.3bn package for Zambia
Executive board urges Bank of Zambia to rebuild reserves and tackle bad debts
Supply-side pressures likely to persist – Carstens
Policy-makers “need to be realistic” about the feasibility of demand management, BIS chief says
ADB provides $100 million in emergency loans to Mongolia
Funds will be used to expand government support for vulnerable households
Glapiński accuses Germany of wanting to redraw land borders
Polish governor warns on plans for EU super-state as German foreign office calls claims “absurd”
Long-term data can shed light on current inflation – NBER paper
Authors suggest first half of 20th century has clearer parallel to current inflation than 1970s
Central banks should ‘overestimate’ inflation persistence, says economist
Academic argues central banks should act as if exogenous shocks are likely to be persistent
RBI’s Patra envisages India as ‘economic superpower’
India has chance to achieve “escape velocity” from emerging market status, deputy says
Firms use supply chains to predict inflation – IMF paper
Authors find expectation formation diverges from rational expectations hypothesis
Little risk of stagflation in Netherlands, says DNB
Wages are no longer inflation-linked and profits are higher, the Dutch central bank confirms.
US inflation: it’s mainly global
Steve Kamin analyses the pre-existing conditions that impacted inflation in the US and elsewhere
Mismeasurement may cause ‘missing-investment puzzle’ – BoE’s Bailey
Rise in intangibles could explain apparent fall in investment despite stable returns, governor says