Expectations
ECB holds and faces dilemma of whether to hike in June
Lagarde says direction is ‘clear’ as Iran conflict worsens outlook for inflation and growth
PBoC deputy says Iran war has worsened EMEs’ debt burden
Xuan Changneng calls for better global sovereign debt frameworks
BSP tightens to fight inflation caused by Middle East conflict
Governor says easing cycle is over as bank forecasts price rises of 6.1% this year and 4.1% in 2027
Firms slowest to adjust to Sarb’s new price target – paper
Memories of post-pandemic inflation surge linger, researchers say
BCU’s comms strategy helped tame inflation, says Tolosa
Uruguayan governor says expectations are anchored for first time in 20 years
BoK, RBNZ, SNB and Spain to ‘wait and see’ on Iran war
Governors say policy should consider longer-term price effects of Middle East conflict
Central banks should stick to what they know, say governors
Focusing on key existing objectives is preferable to taking on new ones, say panellists
Singapore tightens policy for first time in four years
MAS notes ‘considerable risks’ to inflation and growth outlook since start of Middle East conflict
BoE’s Taylor emphasises role of history in policy-making
MPC member says central banks should focus on recurring themes but avoid making crude analogies
Poland and Serbia hold rates
Both central banks cite effects of Middle East conflict in explaining policy decisions
Olli Rehn on demographics, geopolitics and ECB policy
The Bank of Finland governor speaks about immigration and productivity, private credit and stablecoin risks, the mood on the governing council and the impact of conflict in the Middle East
Governor says RBNZ will tighten policy if inflation rises
Central bank holds and offers ‘uncertain’ estimate of inflation being well above target
BoT likely to hike rates if others do, says assistant governor
Don Nakornthab says Thailand’s low inflation means tightening would also come later than elsewhere
The evolution of central banks
Bank Negara Malaysia governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour writes that the roles and responsibilities of central banks are evolving in a changing landscape
Use AI for ‘deeper insights’, not to make decisions – CBBH head
Selimović also discusses payments and reserves at Central Banking’s Kuala Lumpur meetings
Supply-side shock stuns central banks
The partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz raises fresh challenges for central bank policy-makers
As new gauge puts CPI above 2%, is BoJ prepping for a hike?
Revised data shows price growth at a level the bank said would trigger tightening
Geopolitics becoming ‘key risk’ for central banks – panel
Experts at ECB conference say political upheaval now a greater concern than price growth
YCC, carry trades and the changing role of the yen
Marcello Minenna argues that as the BoJ adjusts its policy regime, changes in carry positioning are increasing the instability of the correlation between exchange rates and yield differentials
BoE faces its toughest test in four years
Path to contain inflation from supply-side shocks is different compared with 2022–23
Backdrop to energy shock ‘more benign’ than in 2022 – Lagarde
ECB president says it is still too early to tell if rates will have to rise in response