Central Banks
Interbank networks may be too decentralised – BoE paper
Model of how networks develop implies laissez-faire may not be optimum policy
Loan-to-value analysis may be incomplete as macro-pru tool – research
Loan to purchase price, and loan service to income may be more robust analytical alternatives
FSB raises pressure on stablecoins as firms abandon libra
Several major payment firms have distanced themselves from the project
Trichet defends Draghi’s legacy against growing criticism
Former ECB president says unconventional monetary policy measures have helped to avoid deflation
Financial cycle useful for forecasting recessions – BIS paper
Measures of the financial cycle may be better predictors of recession than standard metrics
The future of cash: an update
Antti Heinonen looks at the latest trends in cash use, including a surprising turnaround for the Swedish krona
Global banks vulnerable to dollar funding shocks, IMF stability report shows
There has been a “resurgence” of US dollar liabilities relative to assets in non-US banks, IMF warns
Fed unveils plan for ‘technical’ asset purchases
New York Fed will buy Treasuries “at least into the second quarter of next year”
Falls in uncertainty may warn of coming crises – Bundesbank paper
Researchers attempt to quantify relationship between rising confidence and early signs of crisis
Draghi defends ECB policy
ECB president welcomes debate but insists crisis-fighting policies saved eurozone
New German ECB board member may help unify governing council
Leading candidates seen as capable of playing a more constructive role, as critics become more vocal
Inflation in Mexico falls to target for first time since 2016
Minutes say officials acknowledge price increases are falling faster than previously anticipated
Brainard attacks Fed plan to soften regulations
Governor warns regulatory cutbacks risk weakening “core safeguards” put in place post-2008
BoJ weighs further stimulus as tax hike bites
But central bank may be reluctant to add more stimulus while tax hike effects are uncertain
There are better ways to solve China trade dispute – Atlanta Fed economist
It is “underappreciated” that the Chinese currency is devalued, Tao Zha says
Italian firms may rely too much on bank credit – research
Bank of Italy paper brings together different data sources to examine firms’ sources of capital
World risks ‘global liquidity crunch’, former BIS officials warn
“Urgent action” needed to prevent crisis, say Philip Turner and André Icard
RBA paper looks at responses to liquidity crises
Penalty rates to contain risk-taking are more effective on long-term loans, study finds
ECB governing council members disagreed over QE, minutes show
Members also differed over staff assessments of eurozone, but “large majority” backed rates move
Trump has changed markets’ expectations of Fed’s moves – researchers
Goldman Sachs and NBER both study implications of Trump’s tweets on trade and the Fed
Carney says new £20 note is ‘most secure yet’
Design unveiled today includes security feature combinations never before used on a UK banknote
Chances of US recession ‘notably increased’, FOMC members say
Fed rate-setters worried by trade and political uncertainty and weaker manufacturing, minutes show
BoE FPC: Markets may ‘jump to illiquidity’ if stressed
Debt and “structural illiquidity” could amplify global shocks, warns committee