Research
Central bankers’ speeches good for the euro, but not ECB – study
People’s support for single currency rises as their trust in institution falls, say LSE researchers
US firms face up to $71bn of extra costs from tariffs – study
Authors say additional complexities mean findings are likely to be on the conservative end of costs
BoC survey finds ‘buy Canadian’ trend amid tariff threats
More than half of respondents plan to spend less on US goods and avoid holidaying below 49th parallel
BoE publishes SVAR model in response to Bernanke review
Flexible model designed to provide “structural narrative” to understand forecast revisions
Wholesale bank funding boosts policy transmission – paper
NBER study highlights trade-offs between reducing systemic risk and facilitating credit flow
Non-banks pose hidden stability risks – Fed research
Credit lines to NBFIs are off firms’ balance sheets, thereby concealing potential hazards, say authors
Regional trade key for Africa’s growth – BIS bulletin
Closer ties between states will help shield continent from US tariff shocks, researchers say
Tariffs would reduce jobs and real income in US – new study
San Francisco Fed paper says drops in earnings would be unevenly spread
More NBFI liquidity data could aid financial stability – ECB study
Research recommends active margin call monitoring for non-banks
Fed researchers look at age-old problems in US economy
More adults are moving in with parents and retirement levels normalise post-Covid, studies find
New Zealand’s ageing population may drive down rates – study
RBNZ research says “grey wave” may make it harder to stimulate economy with cuts
Floating-rate credit blunts policy transmission – research
Inflation would have reached target sooner if more firms had borrowed at fixed rates, study finds
Yield curve affects banks’ ability to lend – Boston Fed study
Central banks should consider effects when calibrating balance sheet policies, say authors
Falling immigration weighing on US GDP – Dallas Fed study
Growth in 2025 likely to be around one percentage point lower than was forecast in 2024, say authors
US monetary policy has greater impact, BoK modelling shows
Researchers say findings show importance of diversifying export markets and monitoring US conditions
Interest-bearing CBDCs could be better for depositors – study
CEPR study says there is “optimal” rate at which currencies would improve people’s welfare
Sovereign bond yields affected by weather disasters – BIS paper
Countries with higher per capita carbon emissions also face greater borrowing costs
Central banks need common accounting standard – Honohan
Former Irish central bank governor calls for policy-makers to report portfolios at fair value
AI demands ‘deep organisational changes’ at central banks – paper
NBER study finds around half of Fed roles could be impacted significantly by adoption of technology
Tariffs worsen monetary policy trade-offs and inflation – study
Fed researchers find evidence of persistence in cost pressures stemming from levies
High-emission jobs in US more exposed to shocks – research
Kansas City Fed study says wages in ‘dirty’ industries are rising, but employment growth is not
Replacing migrant labour will prove costly for US agri – research
Study by Kansas City Fed says farm operators may respond by shifting to foreign production
Tokenised MMF market ‘small’ but could create contagion – BdF
French central bank calls for international co-operation to regulate new assets
Closer eurozone integration vital in today’s world – ECB paper
Competition from China and US tariffs cited among reasons for closer co-operation between members