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Lucas critique & the stability of empirical models

This Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper, published 14 August, re-considers the empirical relevance of the Lucas critique using a DSGE sticky price model in which a weak central bank response to inflation generates equilibrium indeterminacy.

IMF paper on debt in emerging market crises

The IMF Working Paper "The level and composition of public sector debt in emerging market crises" examines the evolution of public sector debt levels and structures in 12 emerging market countries around the time of financial crises.

Bank of Japan Monthly Report, August 2006

The Bank of Japan published the English version of its August 2006 monthly report on Tuesday 15 August. In the report the BOJ maintained its upbeat assessment of the nation's economy, citing brisk capital investment and a pickup in private consumption.

New PBOC adviser says 5% yuan gain okay

It would be acceptable to China for the yuan to appreciate by about 5% a year in the coming two years, a member of the People's Bank of China monetary policy committee, Fan Gang, said in an article published in Monday's 21st Century Business Herald.

Phil Fed's Survey of Professional Forecasters

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia published its Third Quarter 2006 Survey of Professional Forecasters on 14 August. Growth in U.S. real output over the near term looks a bit slower and inflation a bit higher than they did just three months ago,…

Report says US considering inflation gauge change

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics is contemplating a change in the consumer price index that may have an impact on how markets and policymakers interpret inflation data, the Wall Street Journal reported on Monday 14 August, citing a government official.

Fed chief wants to improve communication

According to this article from the Associated press, published Sunday 13 August, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke wants to improve the central bank's communication, but it's not clear how he wants to do it.

ECB paper on the European corporate bond market

The ECB Occasional Paper "Implications for liquidity from innovation and transparency in the European corporate bond market" offers a new framework for the assessment of financial market liquidity and identifies two types: search liquidity and systemic…

San Francisco Fed's Economic Letter

The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco's Economic Letter "Would an inflation target help anchor U.S. inflation expectations?" published Friday 11 August says countries with explicit inflation targets have done a better job at anchoring inflation…

Foreign buyers bring a host of challenges

According to this recent article by Bank of Mexico governor Guillermo Ortiz, published in The Banker magazine, the purchase of developing country banks by global banks can be mutually beneficial.

The curse of the parochial view

This article by Samuel Brittan of the Financial Times, published Friday 11 August, compares the reaction to the recent round of central bank interest rate decisions.

Zimbabwe's Gono warns of 'inflation dragon'

Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe chief Gideon Gono urged Friday 11 August a fight against the "inflation dragon," saying it still posed a major threat to the economy although the rate has fallen back to just under 1 000% recently.

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