Macroeconomics
De Guindos stresses uncertainty from coronavirus outbreak
Powell and Carney said Fed and BoE are closely monitoring the virus’s impact on the economy
Economics Nobel winners feature in new podcast series
Sveriges Riksbank supports interviews featuring Richard Thaler, Angus Deaton and Paul Romer
Norges Bank’s new MPC leaves rates unchanged
Policy rate likely to be on hold for some time, Norway’s central bank says
Ageing populations will keep interest rates low – BdF paper
Housing availability can attenuate decline in rates, authors find
Central bank research may be too focused on narrow topics – paper
Network analysis finds many central banks are limited in the scope of their research
Macroeconomics is not broken
The discipline has moved beyond the neoclassical synthesis. Critics should too
2019: The year in review
The past year was marked by a persistent weakening of the global economy, and some radical financial innovations
BIS paper examines economic impact of macro-pru
Shocks are similar to monetary policy but transmission differs, researchers say
Paper looks at pro-cyclical consumption in Spain
Households reacted strongly to fears of job losses during economic crisis, Bank of Spain says
Eurozone bond purchases work as stabilisation tool – BoI paper
Researchers simulate effectiveness of sovereign bond purchases against both real and financial shocks
Global climate cycles create varied growth challenges – paper
Changing climate has different impact on growth depending on country’s normal climate, researchers find
Book notes: The Japanese central banking system compared with its European and American counterparts, by Yoshiharu Oritani
The book has “no equal” in reviewing new microeconomic theory for central banking
Negative rates not to blame for low eurozone bank profitability – Fed paper
Rates and macroeconomic environment only make up third of shortfall, researchers find
Canada’s Poloz on monetary policy limits, transparency and cyber recovery
Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz speaks about stagflation risks from trade wars, the importance of market signals, Canada’s CBDC plans and why he is not a fan of minutes
IMF boosts financial surveillance funding
IMF seeks to improve hiring and training of economists after Independent Evaluation Office report
BdF paper uses professional forecasts to improve BVAR model
Authors use “entropic tilting and soft conditioning” to incorporate survey data into model
Falls in uncertainty may warn of coming crises – Bundesbank paper
Researchers attempt to quantify relationship between rising confidence and early signs of crisis
Trump has changed markets’ expectations of Fed’s moves – researchers
Goldman Sachs and NBER both study implications of Trump’s tweets on trade and the Fed
Central banks must use “unconstrained” negative rates, Rogoff tells ECB
Policy-makers must ensure cash depreciates against electronic money, or face failure, Rogoff says
ECB paper takes new approach to modelling lower bound
Model uses regime-switching approach to look at returns on short-term bond yields
IMF economist: central banks may have misdiagnosed secular slowdown
Lower neutral rates may have been caused by central banks lowering rates, researcher says
Book notes: Economics for the common good, by Jean Tirole
The book should be well received amid the recent rise in populism
Emir data can give valuable insights on rate expectations – ECB paper
New methodology uses data on OTC transactions to track market expectations of interest rates
Asymmetric inflation targets improve welfare – Chicago Fed paper
Fed can remove deflationary bias by adopting asymmetric target, model suggests