Inflation
Bank Indonesia makes second surprise rate cut
Consecutive cuts come despite strong second-quarter growth
Britain’s ‘knife-edged’ economy is dividing BoE rate-setters
Chief economist and deputy governor for monetary policy both outvoted on MPC for first time since 2007
Towards a new monetary policy framework for the AI age
AI may render the traditional monetary policy toolkit less effective and the familiar rules of engagement obsolete, argues Biagio Bossone
Politics influences US citizens’ inflation expectations – study
Party affiliations help explain divergence in different surveys’ results, say Cleveland Fed economists
Rates round-up: African central banks hold steady
Mauritius, Namibia, Uganda and Zambia leave policy unchanged, while Kenya cuts
Norges Bank strikes hawkish tone with rates hold
Inflation “in line” with June projection and two cuts still on table for this year, central bank says
Bessent expects BoJ to raise policy rate
US Treasury secretary also says inflation in Japan is dragging up yields on long-term US bonds
Climate risks still on the fringe of monetary policy in Asia
Notwithstanding efforts by the PBoC and BoJ, there is still a need to observe persistent and measurable impacts on inflation and output before climate change truly influences interest rate policy, argues Sayuri Shirai
BoT cuts policy rate and forecasts tariff-induced slowdown
Thai central bank cuts by 25bp at final meeting before dovish Vitai becomes governor
Australia cuts rates by 25bp as expected
RBA governor says inflation within target, as bank’s forecasts assume further cuts
Is this time different for Argentina?
Reserve shortage and overvalued currency cast a pall over an otherwise successful stabilisation campaign
Experts split over wisdom of Mexico’s 25bp rates cut
Economist says policy committee’s sole dissenter was right to vote to hold
Czech Republic holds rates again and upgrades growth outlook
CNB says economy running hot on all fronts warrants restrictiveness in monetary stance
BoJ eyes further rate hikes, possibly by year’s end
Central bank says global economies’ resilience to tariffs “remarkable”, while predicting slowdown
BoE cuts rates by 25bp in historic close call
For first time in history, MPC voted twice as initial round ended in 4–4–1 stalemate
RBNZ survey respondents expect bank to cut policy rate
Business leaders and forecasters also expect weaker inflation in New Zealand over medium term
China analysts expect moderate rate cuts in H2
PBoC mirrors politburo stance in mid-year meeting while eyeing further internationalisation of yuan
News coverage affects inflation expectations – NBER paper
Authors say bad news has bigger impact on perceptions of inflation
Colombia’s unexpected rate hold draws fire from president
Policy maintained at 9.25% could mean fewer or no rate cuts in upcoming meetings, analysts say
Book notes: Inflation, by Mark Blyth and Nicolò Fraccaroli
An accessible explainer about the narratives surrounding inflation – and who it benefits
Brazil holds rates amid tariff threats and Trump-Lula feud
Potential 50% levies from US reinforce “cautious stance”, BCB says
Ageing societies limit monetary policy space – BoK study
“Super aged” populations cut growth and inflation, and weaken banking sector, authors say
Ghana’s 300bp rate cut is largest in its history
Governor signals further easing as inflation cools to lowest level since 2021
BoJ holds policy and ups inflation expectations
Japan’s central bank says growth likely to slow then pick up again after tariffs’ effects diminish