Inflation
Lagarde downplays odds of early exit
ECB president uses interviews to say she is on a ‘mission’ with a ‘baseline’ of serving out her term
High tariff regime in the US is ‘here to stay’ – BoE’s Taylor
Impact on trade flows and pricing will take years to play out, MPC member says
Shipping congestion drives up inflation – IMF paper
Study of tracking data shows delays at ports are reflected in headline inflation
Bank Indonesia holds rates again to defend currency
Weak rupiah to delay rate cuts as ratings downgrade weighs on investor appetite, analyst says
Dallas Fed researcher cautions against expansionary policy
Study of US in the 1970s says oil shocks were not primary driver of inflation
FOMC minutes show sharp division in projections
Some members argue rates may need to be raised while others make case for easing
RBNZ holds rates at 2.25% in new governor’s first meeting
Analysts expect central bank to maintain accommodative policy for some time
Central banks develop GenAI tool for inflation nowcasting
Researchers say method has global applicability
Russia has limited room for manoeuvre on policy – experts
Rate cut reflects nervousness rather than confidence about inflation and growth trajectory, say analysts
QT ‘crucial’ if ECB is to tackle future crises, says Nagel
Bundesbank president says dollarisation by way of stablecoins could weaken European sovereignty
Egypt cuts rates by 100bp and lowers reserve requirements
Central bank continues to reverse tight monetary policy stance as inflation gradually declines
Russia eases by 50bp despite inflation risk
Central bank says pro-inflationary threats are still greater than disinflationary ones
RBNZ welcomes external probe into Covid-era monetary policy
Finance minister says bank’s easing and asset purchases caused ‘decades-high inflation’
Zambia cuts rates by 75bp to 13.5%
Inflation expected to fall to within target range by next quarter, central bank governor says
Price change frequency upped inflation post-Covid – study
Size of individual changes had same effect on overall prices as during normal times, ECB paper finds
RBI keeps policy steady
Policy committee takes positive view of inflation and growth outlook, despite some external headwinds
Cook links stubbornly high US goods prices to Trump’s tariffs
Fed governor, still fighting attempted dismissal, laments stalling of progress on tackling inflation
Full ‘postmortem’ on QE yet to be written – Klaas Knot
Former DNB governor expects Fed to continue international monetary diplomacy under Warsh
BoE holds rates at 3.75% in yet another close decision
Good progress on disinflation and weak labour market open door for cut in March
BIS paper models fiscal influence on monetary policy
Researchers propose alternative mechanism to fiscal theory of the price level
RBA tightens policy, citing higher-than-expected inflation
Australia’s first rate hike since late 2023 had been expected by economists
Colombia shocks markets with 100bp rates hike
First tightening in nearly three years comes after government announces 23% rise in minimum wage
‘Pricing cascades’ crucial to post-Covid inflation – study
ECB researchers say speed and interdependencies were key components to shock
MAS holds policy while warning of potential AI-related shocks
Singapore’s central bank increases inflation estimates and predicts resilient growth