Forecasting
European central banks opt to hold
Albania, Czech Republic, Poland, Serbia and Sweden keep rates constant
AI surges as focus for strategic planning
But digital transformation is still the most widespread goal of planners
Sama’s Al-Sayari on financial resilience and the future of the riyal
The Saudi Central Bank governor speaks with Christopher Jeffery about the Middle East conflict, the transformation of the Saudi economy, improving prudential oversight and contingency planning, and the development of the fintech and tokenised ecosystem
Regulators having to abandon silos in age of AI, says tech exec
Central Banking Meetings hear how technological revolution is shaping supervisors’ responses
‘Rolling windows’ method may help evaluate big data forecasts
Barbara Rossi presents new approach at ECB’s AI conference
Central Banking Awards 2026: the winners in full
Awards recognise extraordinary achievements in another challenging year for central banks
BIS authors say Bistro should be on central banks’ menu
Economists say new LLM is better at projecting inflation than standard econometric models
ECB holds rates, predicts 2.6% inflation for 2026
Lagarde presents gloomy outlook for eurozone inflation and growth as energy prices spike
Artificial intelligence initiative: Bank of Namibia
A concerted effort to implement AI has delivered efficiency gains within and across the financial sector
People: Braddick to take charge at UK’s prudential watchdog
Plus: BoE also appoints first executive director for monetary policy
RBA did not lose focus on inflation, says deputy governor
Hauser says last year’s cuts were based on assumption that price levels in Australia would be lower
Fed paper touts prediction market data for monetary policy
Sites like Kalshi could become “new benchmark” for measuring expectations, researchers say
QT ‘crucial’ if ECB is to tackle future crises, says Nagel
Bundesbank president says dollarisation by way of stablecoins could weaken European sovereignty
IMF and NBU rework models to reflect Russia-Ukraine war
Forecast process redesigned to take account of battlefield uncertainty and additional policy tools
Models need rethink due to effect of global shocks – paper
Central banks can no longer assume shocks are ‘temporary, linear and symmetric’, authors say
Sveriges Riksbank holds rates, signals longer-term pause
Swedish economy continues to grow, despite ‘dramatic’ geopolitical developments, bank says
BoE’s new forecast evaluation unpacks causes of errors
Global shocks and wage growth led bank to underestimate inflation persistence
BoE paper offers method to build narrative around forecasts
Process could support use of SVAR models in monetary policy process
Scenario analysis difficult to get right, say BoE watchers
Economists welcome attempt to convey uncertainty but criticise aspects of central bank’s reforms
National central banks hold rates across Europe
Albania, Czech Republic, Hungary, Norway and Sweden all leave policy unchanged
RBNZ’s Breman to discuss greater transparency with MPC
New governor says she will raise issue of attributing votes on rate decisions to individual policy-makers