Economics
BoE paper uses millions of job adverts to understand labour market
Researchers analysed 15 million adverts over eight years to categorise jobs
US dollar credit to emerging markets growing faster, reveals BIS data
Growth in dollar-denominated debts up 9%, with growth in debt securities even faster
Researcher models business cycle using ‘animal spirits’
San Francisco Fed paper incorporates ‘equity sentiment shock’ into model
Securitisation did not increase for most banks before 2008 - BoI paper
Data from 1991 to 2007 shows banks improved capital ratios after securitising assets
Mexico needs labour market reform - IADB vice-president
Growth rates have been among slowest in Latin America despite reform efforts, Levy says
Labour reallocation explains productivity puzzle – BoE paper
Methodological innovation helps solve data-quality issues, author says
Indian researchers use Google searches to overcome lack of data
RBI paper examined Google Trends to study growth in the Indian housing market
The data commons: Taking big data global
The International Monetary Fund’s first-ever overarching strategy on data aims to spread big data expertise among fund members. Louis Marc Ducharme discusses the upcoming challenges.
RBA paper modifies DGSE to include housing sector
Model does better job of explaining data on Australian economy, researchers say
NPLs hindered financing for eurozone banks - Boston Fed paper
But Draghi’s August 2012 speech eased problems caused by sovereign debt holdings - researchers
Housing bubbles can boost credit supply, Spanish paper finds
Evidence of Spanish housing bubble show banks boosting credit supply, researchers say
Paper looks at impact of financial shocks on US labour markets
Negative shocks have far bigger effects than positive ones, researchers find
Forecasting yield curve inversion is hard – Cleveland Fed research
Inversions may be a “harbinger of recession” but seeing them coming is difficult, says economist
Podcast: David Vines on how to reform the DSGE model
Oxford University’s David Vines believes the New Keynesian DSGE model is salvageable – but needs some serious work
Protectionism triggers ‘rising level of concern’ in US – Powell
Fed chair thinks it is difficult to predict the effect of trade barriers on the economy
Weak US productivity behind low wage growth – IMF
Declining labour share of income is another contributing factor
ECB needed better data in 2008 crisis, says Lautenschläger
Money market data was “limited” and published too infrequently, says senior ECB official
GDP growth only raises profits for some banks – Bank of Italy paper
Banks with large loan portfolios benefit from GDP growth – researchers
BoE’s latest big data project targets labour mismatches
Eliminating regional mismatch could have prevented productivity shortfall, researchers find
Fed paper builds dynamic factor model for nowcasting
Model produces “reasonably good” estimates of Ecuadorian GDP and outperforms other models
Data prompts positivity from Carney
Economic slowdown in Q1 was not due to the economic climate, BoE governor says
ECB’s QE has dampened volatility in Eastern Europe – BoI paper
End to ECB asset purchases might increase volatility in EU-6, researchers say
ECB warns EU may be making wrong assumptions on ageing
Eurostat projections more favourable than those of other agencies – ECB bulletin