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Interest rates

When facts change, central bank intentions should

According to this article published by the Financial Times on Wednesday 28 June, by Francesco Giavazzi and Charles Wyplosz, the Bank of England, which once pioneered transparency and innovative communication, is trailing behind other central banks.

Comment: When 364 economists were wrong

It is rare to find two economists who can agree on anything, but in 1981 no less than 364 British economists agreed to write an open letter condemning the tightness of that year's budget. Amongst them: a certain Mervyn King.

Comment: Bold CBT holds its breath

After another emergency meeting over the weekend the Central Bank of Turkey has raised interest rates by 225 basis points (bp). This has taken interest rates to 17.25%, following an initial hike of 175 bp earlier this month. Will this bold move make any…

Study says markets on Fed's wavelength

According to a recent study by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, better communication by the U.S. central bank has dramatically cut mistakes by markets betting on future interest rate moves.

BOJ's Nishimura sees low rates problem

Keeping Japan's interest rates at low levels for a prolonged period may cause excessive investment by companies and overstimulate economic growth, according to Kiyohiko Nishimura, a Bank of Japan policy maker.

ECB's Trichet on economic and monetary issues

In the testimony given on 21 June Jean-Claude Trichet of the ECB said the insight that price stability is the primary goal for monetary policy has also been translated into the mandates of central banks of advanced economies and also of a very large…

Comment: Eastern European tightrope

Amidst renewed inflation fears in the developed world and the prospects of further interest rate hikes there, a number of central banks in Eastern Europe and the Baltics will be silently grateful for a little bit of latitude. But with question marks…

Comment: May inflation surprise

In a murky environment, this week's inflation data was billed as crucial to providing clarity on the future direction of US interest rates in the months to come. By that logic, another hike in two weeks time is a certainty, with another probably…

Comment: Fukui's gaffe

Bank of Japan governor, Toshihiko Fukui, faces an uncertain future following his admission of a supposedly unethical investment. Even though prime minister Junichiro Koizumi immediately jumped to Fukui's defence, pundits are already saying the incident…

Comment: Hawkish Fed

After a string of speeches by its senior staff this week, the Fed appears to be in an increasingly hawkish mood. The growing perception that that US interest rates will have to rise further could be bolstered by today's release of consumer price data for…

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