Inflation
Hungary holds rates amid continuing upside risks to inflation
MNB points to geopolitical and trade uncertainty in explaining first policy decision under new governor
Can Bessent lower 10-year yields? Investors have their doubts
Unconventional tools won’t sway bond markets, say buy-siders, with yields as likely to go higher as lower
BNM governor: trade uncertainty creates obstacles to growth
Central bank cannot be complacent amid “unpredictable” external environment, says Rasheed
Turkey raises overnight lending rate in emergency move
Central bank tries to protect lira after opposition figure’s arrest triggers fall in currency
Inflation expectations rising due to tariffs – BoC’s Macklem
Governor says Canada’s central bank will pursue policy that works in multiple scenarios
Brazil delivers another 100bp hike
BCB’s battle against inflation continues as government announces more fiscally expansionary measures
FOMC holds rates amid uncertainty and stagflation risks
Fed chair Jay Powell says inertia also a factor as committee opts for caution
Indonesia holds rates after stock market rout
BI opts to defend exchange rate as country records deflation for first time in 25 years
US stagflation risk is significant and rising, experts say
Path of tariffs will largely determine level of risk, academics tell Central Banking
Bank of Japan holds rates amid trade uncertainty
Strong wage growth underpins economic recovery but central bank remains wary of US tariffs
Professional long-run inflation forecasts are flawed – study
Chicago Fed research says projections are bogged down by cognitive distortions and overconfidence
Peru holds policy rate at 4.75%
BCRP stays put as inflation and growth continue to move in right direction
CBRT says protectionism may drive up inflation
In MPC meeting minutes, central bank says tight policy has supported disinflation seen thus far
Bank of Canada cuts rates by 25 basis points
Monetary policy “cannot offset the impacts of a trade war”, says central bank
Rates should stimulate economy in response to tariffs – study
Optimal monetary policy promotes employment and income, Minneapolis Fed paper argues
‘Trump slump’ hedges rise on rate cut fears
One dealer notes five-fold increase in number of clients hedging against possibility of faster easing
MNB to follow ‘disciplined, patient policy’ – new governor
In first speech since taking office, Varga says bank will closely monitor food and service inflation
Risk of inflation de-anchoring is higher in US than Canada – study
Authors say risk has also risen for both countries post-Covid
Disinflation is still on track, BoE governor insists
Officials tell UK parliament that success so far does not mean mission is complete
Turkey cuts rates as official inflation figure dips below 40%
However, level of price rises remains well above central bank’s 5% target
Trump 2.0 piles pressure on reserve managers
Speakers at Central Banking Spring Meetings discuss positioning, interventions and impact of lost aid
The interest rate dilemma in an uncertain world: a balancing act
Biagio Bossone makes the case for a holistic policy approach that includes extending IT tolerance bands, smart fiscal policies, supply-side reform and financial safeguards
Tighter policy in 2021 would have had ill effects – NY Fed study
Authors argue inflation would have fallen only modestly while global demand would have suffered