Central Banking
Fed paper touts prediction market data for monetary policy
Sites like Kalshi could become “new benchmark” for measuring expectations, researchers say
Kashkari says research criticism is new threat to Fed independence
Minneapolis Fed chief says comments by NEC director are continuation of pressure on monetary policy
Bank Indonesia holds rates again to defend currency
Weak rupiah to delay rate cuts as ratings downgrade weighs on investor appetite, analyst says
Officials deny geopolitical fears driving UK payments upgrade
US card payments providers Mastercard and Visa will participate in industry meeting today
Romanian governor targeted by new deepfake
Fake advertisements push financial investments using Mugur Isărescu’s imagery
Brazil’s central bank shuts down lender connected to Banco Master
BCB says bank had “compromised economic and financial situation”
Dallas Fed researcher cautions against expansionary policy
Study of US in the 1970s says oil shocks were not primary driver of inflation
FOMC minutes show sharp division in projections
Some members argue rates may need to be raised while others make case for easing
Changing of Lagarde: who might take over at the ECB?
De Cos and Knot among contenders, following reports that president may be stepping down early
Barr: US labour market ‘especially vulnerable to negative shocks’
Fed governor says FOMC likely to continue holding rates for the time being
Emerging economies likely to lag advanced in AI-led growth – study
BIS report highlights divergence in technology’s impact on jobs and countries’ ability to adapt
RBNZ holds rates at 2.25% in new governor’s first meeting
Analysts expect central bank to maintain accommodative policy for some time
Economists warn of emerging ‘sovereign-stablecoin nexus’
Researchers model regulatory options as stablecoins become intertwined with core markets
More financial integration key for Europe’s resilience, says Nagel
Bundesbank president says eurozone can adapt to new geopolitical reality
Net zero transition could boost productivity – BoE paper
Impact of carbon tax depends partly on spillovers from green technology, economists say
ECB analysts call for European supervision of asset managers
Largest groups’ balance sheets and cross-border activity merit closer look, blog argues
Basel Committee warns of rollover risks in SRT markets
Investors’ appetite for synthetic risk transfers could lessen during downturns, organisation says
Central banks develop GenAI tool for inflation nowcasting
Researchers say method has global applicability
Russia has limited room for manoeuvre on policy – experts
Rate cut reflects nervousness rather than confidence about inflation and growth trajectory, say analysts
Renminbi options volumes plummet as vol grinds lower
USD/CNH volumes fell 84% in 2025 as PBoC currency management took hold
India launches CBDC pilot using 24/7 grain ATMs
Public can use QR codes or SMS passwords to release food
IMF: shareholders must absorb Lebanon’s bank losses first
Effort to repay depositors cannot undermine public debt sustainability, fund says after mission
Banks’ internal markets impact wider funding conditions – paper
Repos from affiliates play key role in channelling liquidity to financial system, authors find
ECB to offer repo line access to almost all central banks
Euro liquidity ‘granted by default’ unless breaching AML/CFT rules or sanctions, says Lagarde