Research
Paper examines US pensions’ effects on natural rate
Welfare effects of possible reforms depends on productivity growth, Bank of Italy paper finds
Bank of Spain paper analyses regulations’ complexity
Researchers present new method for assessing regulations’ structural and linguistic complexity
Bank of Italy paper uses Twitter to track inflation expectations
New method’s data gives a “good real-time proxy” for consumers’ expectations – researchers
BIS paper contrasts firm financing in US and Asia
Authors argue market segmentation drives different patterns of bond and loan financing
Covid-19 highlighted machine learning model limits – BoE research
Economic downturn could not have been forecast on the basis of data alone, BoE says
Adding QE can fix New Keynesian models – BoE paper
“Mild adjustments” to balance sheet are enough to avoid paradoxical results, authors find
Private sector partnerships could be the key to CBDC survival – IMF research
Central banks may find it “challenging” to keep up with pace of technological change
Paper presents real-time bank stress measurement tool
Bank of Italy paper can measure deposit flows using RTGS data, researcher says
Temporary green QE might have limited effects – research
Green bond buying can cut flow of pollution but has little effect on stock – Bank of Italy paper
Virus impacts consumer credit more than restrictions – Fed paper
“Pandemic itself” was main driver of credit contraction in US, not lockdowns, paper finds
Shadow banks play key role in business cycle – BoE paper
Contraction in securitisation can spill into wider credit conditions, researchers say
Paper finds little evidence of long-term scarring
Richmond Fed research finds short-term demand shocks rarely create hysteresis
Evidence of central bank research bias is ‘mixed’ – RBA paper
Results contrast with another recent study that found bias in research on QE
Largest banks’ funding advantages grew in pandemic – research
Biggest banks’ perceived risk advantage grew after onset of Covid-19, researcher finds
BIS paper tests impact of macro-pru on non-banks
Domestic and foreign prudential policies have opposite effects on non-bank share, authors find
Corruption in Aruba is increasing, central bank survey shows
Citizens believe government has “no real will” to fight corruption and may benefit from it
Bank efficiency has little effect on Chinese monetary policy – Finnish paper
Chinese banks with very high or low loan-to-deposit ratios are most affected, researchers find
Frequent recessions push up US unemployment rate – paper
Cleveland Fed research says two decades of growth would produce 3.6% unemployment
ECB paper analyses US home ownership
Labour market dynamics and rising house prices account for generational inequality, researcher says
BIS paper seeks to overcome flawed Chinese growth statistics
Authors use regional data to circumvent “flat” GDP time series
Only climate policy risk priced in US equity markets – research
US political debate is only “wake-up call” for investors, who seem to disregard physical risks
Epidemics cause delayed political unrest – IMF paper
Infectious disease outbreaks lead to upheaval after health crisis has passed, researchers say
BoE paper seeks origin of systemic risk
Network analysis tool can overcome problems with other approaches, authors say
National statistical agencies must measure informal economy – IMF
Fund outlines new framework for informal economy consistent with GDP methodology