United States
PRA struggles to follow Fed’s FRTB modelling moves
Market risk experts say minor differences in US rules add up to more incentives for IMA adoption
Dollar’s decline has been overstated, says NY Fed study
Fall in greenback’s share of FX reserves driven by concentrated drop among small number of states
Waller steps up to the plate with rationale for rate setting
Fed governor compares himself to baseball umpire and says data will determine his next FOMC vote
Bank of Canada extends rate hold as trade war intensifies
Macklem says surprise uptick in growth is fragile thanks to new US tariffs and high petrol prices
Central bank credibility not just about legislation – paper
NBER researchers say once independence has been granted, trust still has to be earned
Central bank reserve managers unnerved by Treasury market woes
Officials are unsettled but constrained as US creditor base shifts to private hands
Warsh declines to outline Fed’s reaction function
Chair tells Jackson Hole that ‘humble, never naïve’ approach will work and assesses US economy
Book notes: The almighty dollar, by Brendan Greeley
The history of the currency that came to be ‘the dollar’ is the centrepiece in an otherwise confused book
Will Kevin Warsh’s communications gambit pay off?
Fed chair believes less is more with comms, but experts say time is ticking on his credibility
How credible is Venezuela’s debt restructuring?
Aggressive timetable and lack of IMF involvement raise feasibility concerns for restructuring up to $240 billion of debt
Book notes: The banker who made America, by Richard Vague
This well-researched book makes a strong case that without the efforts of Thomas Willing, the US war of independence may well have been lost
Iran’s central bank chief says its oil exports are at zero
Governor adds that foreign reserves remain frozen as Trump vows ‘economic D-day’ against country
US Treasury doubles long-term bond purchases
Treasuries with 10–20 and 20–30-year maturities to be bought at $4 billion 'per operation'
Warsh called for fewer FOMC meetings in July
Minutes show committee agreeing on above-target inflation but disagreeing over AI’s effect on prices
Sticky wages help explain depressed US sentiment – paper
Lack of salary indexation, rather than inflation, to blame for decline in sentiment, authors find
Strong recovery in US treasury purchases is ‘unlikely’ – paper
Central banks’ demand for US government bonds has ‘plateaued’ as reserve managers diversify
Comms staff need to reflect on how their messages are perceived
BoE’s Eric Tong discusses research probing how the public receives central bank messages via the media
CFTC uses emergency powers to overturn prediction market ban
Temporary US-wide ban would make financial instruments “waste away”, chairman says
Study compares private credit and leveraged loan market structure
Some firms better able to substitute between funding types than others, authors find
Resolution reforms may cut credit supply – CEPR paper
Easier requirements on smaller US banks helps reveal impact of ‘living wills’
Trump downplays reports of regular calls with Warsh
Talks between president and Fed chair have precedent, but frequent communications would be unusual, economist says