United States
Cook wins latest round in battle against dismissal from Fed
Court rules that Trump does not appear to have sufficient grounds to fire governor ‘for cause’
US faces recession unless trade tensions abate – economists
Experts expect Fed to cut rates as economy experiences first job losses since 2020
How FX pricing is adapting to Trumpian markets
Dealers are tying pricing engines to new signals in effort to cope with out-of-the-blue moves
Miran claims climate work is real threat to Fed independence
Nominee would ‘forcefully push back’ on bank incorporating global warming risks in its assessments
Senate unlikely to replace Cook during litigation
Republicans on key committee will not consider nominees until court rules on legality of her dismissal
The investors who aren’t fretting over Trump’s stat sulk
Some see dismissal of statistics agency chief as an assault on US institutional integrity; for others it offers a chance to throw off outdated methods
Study suggests AI is already leading to US job losses
Research by St Louis Fed says effect has been greatest in mathematical and computer sectors
Tariffs may lower the natural interest rate – research
Increased trade costs reduce demand for capital, say authors
People: ECB creates task force to simplify regulation
Plus: Kocher takes over as head of Austria’s central bank
Lagarde says US-EU deal lowered uncertainty ‘considerably’
ECB president voices concern over Fed independence, French debt
How much do investors really care about Fed independence?
The answer for some is more nuanced than you might think
How to solve the Fed’s $300bn FRTB problem
A sacrifice will have to be made to ensure new market risk rules meet demands for capital neutrality
Professor says Fed must defend its post-Covid credibility
Jackson Hole speaker Emi Nakamura talks credibility, tariffs and independence
Firing Cook is not going to be easy, legal experts say
Some scholars criticise the US president’s move, but others say there may be grounds for dismissal
Trump tries to remove Fed governor Lisa Cook
President says mortgage applications by Cook constitute “due cause” for her removal
Aging population may improve fiscal sustainability – paper
More old people means more money to invest in assets like government bonds, researchers point out
Powell indicates policy shift at Jackson Hole
The Fed chair says the balance of risks appears to be shifting; FOMC no longer plans to overshoot inflation target
US consumer spending resilience hides inequalities – research
Low-income consumers’ credit card debt has risen substantially since 2019
Eurozone unemployment stats may understate slack – research
Authors say they have created an indicator with important monetary policy implications
Book notes: King dollar, by Paul Blustein
A well-researched overview of the position of the US currency, providing an optimistic view on the future of ‘king dollar’.
Trump calls for Fed governor Cook to resign
Federal Housing Finance Agency director accuses the governor of mortgage fraud
On the eve of the Fed’s framework review
Experts speak about the Fed’s monetary strategy review, including the role of flexible average IT and the need to better communicate policy trade-offs
The Genius Act: a smart move for global payments?
Experts from the stablecoin industry discuss if new US law can live up to its name
Fed ends crypto and fintech supervision programme
“Novel activities” programme will be folded into normal supervisory processes