North America
Why making cents no longer makes sense
Experts praise US Treasury’s decision to stop minting pennies, but question policy’s implementation
Fannie, Freddie … and Donald
Trump’s plan to privatise GSEs may pose systemic risks if not done properly – and Fed may have to intervene, say experts
Leverage ratio reform: the good, the bad and the Treasury
A simple cut would be less likely to stoke interest rate risk than exempting US government bonds
Supply chains more normal than they seem – Richmond Fed study
Research says index compiled by New York Fed points to business as usual
US faces mounting costs if trade war escalates – study
Fed economists monitor effect on asset and consumer goods prices under blanket 25% tariff
Why US banks are not taking their eye off reputational risk
The concept may be removed from supervisory exams, but the 2023 crisis showed the risk is real
Tariffs not the only policy causing uncertainty – Fed presidents
Officials highlight risks from US administration’s approaches to deregulation and immigration
US citizens increasingly reluctant to relocate – study
Richmond Fed research cites multiple causes, including narrowing gender gap and seniors’ wish to stay put
Mr Bessent goes to Basel: the fate of global bank regulation
US resistance to international standards could spark greater fragmentation of prudential rules
Growth in US CRE loans hits 11-year low – research
St Louis Fed study says developers responding to higher costs and lower demand
Muted consumer sentiment may not presage low US growth – study
Kansas City Fed research says people’s pessimism does not automatically mean they will spend less
GSEs not lending as much as they appear to be – NY Fed paper
Much of enterprises’ loans to “real economy” are in fact financed by other types of institution
Bank of Mexico puts growth before prices with rate cut
Economists say decision reflects concerns about possible tariff-induced recession
Dallas Fed study adds to official scepticism of US tariffs
Research says potential for domestic gains will depend on other countries not responding
Fed official: SLR tweaks likely unbundled from Basel III
Complexity of endgame proposals means any leverage ratio changes will probably be proposed separately
Fed researchers call for new definition of ‘unbanked’
Economists support paper’s more nuanced approach, but caution against dropping current terminology
Tariffs already raising US inflation – Fed study
Researchers say trade policies were starting to affect consumer prices in March
Global reset is testing emerging markets – Gopinath
IMF’s deputy managing director says small economies must be ready to respond forcefully to inflation
The cost of ‘US liberation’
Stephen Millard outlines NIESR’s latest analysis of the Trump tariffs, as risks tilt to the downside
FOMC vote rotation ‘distorts’ rates – NBER paper
Regional Fed presidents make decisions based on local conditions, research finds
Experts divided over contraction in US economy
Ex-NY Fed chief says latest figures are an anomaly, though others point to Trump policies’ impact
Post-Covid inflation in US mainly driven by demand – study
Author says findings help account for Fed’s difficulty in achieving 2% target
Inflation expectations survey flashes warning signs in US
University of Michigan report, cited by Fed officials, says outlook had dropped in tandem with tariffs
‘Liberation day’ likely to cause US recession – NBER study
Paper sets out conditions for tariff-driven downturn and says US is likely to meet them