North America
Inflation expectations rising due to tariffs – BoC’s Macklem
Governor says Canada’s central bank will pursue policy that works in multiple scenarios
FOMC holds rates amid uncertainty and stagflation risks
Fed chair Jay Powell says inertia also a factor as committee opts for caution
US stagflation risk is significant and rising, experts say
Path of tariffs will largely determine level of risk, academics tell Central Banking
NY Fed credit survey shows consumers are strapped
Study finds more people are having applications rejected and expect loans to be harder to secure
Trump taps Bowman to become Fed’s vice-chair for supervision
Designated chief regulator has opposed Basel III endgame and pushed for lighter capital rules
US farmers need extra revenue to make ends meet – research
Costs largely outweigh income generated by agri, says Richmond Fed study
Professional long-run inflation forecasts are flawed – study
Chicago Fed research says projections are bogged down by cognitive distortions and overconfidence
Bank of Canada cuts rates by 25 basis points
Monetary policy “cannot offset the impacts of a trade war”, says central bank
US homes not adequately insured against disasters – report
Philly Fed study says most households do not have coverage to rebuild following catastrophic damage
Rates should stimulate economy in response to tariffs – study
Optimal monetary policy promotes employment and income, Minneapolis Fed paper argues
Credit delinquency rise may be due to home priorities – study
Consumers choosing to repay auto and home loans rather than credit cards, say authors
Risk of inflation de-anchoring is higher in US than Canada – study
Authors say risk has also risen for both countries post-Covid
Data from Covid liquidity programmes could improve markets – BoC study
Anonymising and aggregating information would assist with price discovery, argues research
Atlanta Fed’s GDP estimate takes a nosedive
Bank projects more severe contraction in Q1, while analysts point to possible recession
Tariffs will induce structural change in Canada – Macklem
Increased trade frictions with US will hurt country’s economy but represent “new reality”, says governor
Fed’s Barr tells regulators to ‘finish the job’ on Basel III
Not complying with global standards makes US banks less competitive, vice-chair for supervision says