Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
San Francisco Fed researcher seeks to improve Phillips curve
Introducing an “interaction variable” can increase predictive performance, researcher says
The IFF China Report 2019
Insight and perspectives from the world's leaders, premier policy-makers and financiers
Consensus over Fed inflation target shifted during Great Recession – San Fran Fed
Up until the 2008 crisis, most FOMC participants preferred a 1.5% target, researchers find
The IFF China Report 2019: Redesigning the international trading and monetary system
Reform of the financial system that brought about the 2007–08 financial crisis has not gone far enough and advanced and emerging market economies must find a more co-operative way forward to ensure globalisation can continue.
‘Does the Fed know more about the economy?’ asks San Francisco Fed
Researcher compares Fed and private sector growth forecasts
Most US community banks could withstand housing slump – researcher
San Fran Fed researcher says less than 1% of banks would be “severely undercapitalised”
Fed has limited tools to combat climate change impact – San Fran Fed paper
But central banks can do more to research appropriate policy responses to climate change
US bank interconnectedness is falling – San Fran Fed paper
New method focuses on idiosyncratic factors to identify possible links, researchers say
Fed to finalise balance sheet plans in upcoming meetings – Mester
Discussions over final size and future use of the balance sheet underway at the central bank
US expectations key influence on inflation - San Francisco Fed paper
Fed must maintain inflation expectations around target, researchers say
Negative rates could have sped up US recovery – San Fran Fed paper
Output gap could have been reduced by as much as half compared to actual figures, researcher says
Low US unemployment unlikely to foster sudden wage growth – research
Fed projections see unemployment rate falling to 3.5% by the end of 2019
Fed diversity is focus of new legislation
New bill would ensure at least one gender- and one ethnically-diverse candidate are interviewed for vacant president roles
Fed presidents weigh in on December rate decision
Incoming data and recent speeches point to slightly more dovish outlook
US inflation likely to fall below target – San Francisco Fed
Factors unrelated to economic cycle have increased their contribution to price increases in 2018
Fed official downbeat on US labour market
US labour market participation in stark contrast to advanced-economy counterparts, Daly warns
US inflation slowdown raises policy challenges
Inflation has seen a lull, but several factors indicate it could rebound
Daly favours Fed’s gradual normalisation policy
The San Fran Fed president will be voting in the next FOMC meeting on November 7-8
People: San Fran Fed appoints head of research
Sylvain Leduc becomes head of research at San Fran Fed; Shonubi approved as deputy in Nigeria; two front-runners to lead FSB; Iceland appoints head of new IT division
Williams softens stance on neutral rate
“At times r-star has actually gotten too much attention”, says New York Fed president
Mary Daly takes San Fran Fed presidency
Head of research succeeds John Williams as president of Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Flatter US yield curve may not herald a new crisis – San Francisco Fed
The curve inversion has not materialised, while low long-term yields may be related to quantitative easing
Financial crisis lowered US output – San Fran Fed research
US output has been persistently lowered by 7 percentage points, researchers say
Researcher models business cycle using ‘animal spirits’
San Francisco Fed paper incorporates ‘equity sentiment shock’ into model