US labour force participation driven by fewer outflows – San Fran Fed researcher
Hot economy could be making workers less likely to leave labour force, Regis Barnichon says
The recent increase in US labour force participation is due to fewer workers leaving the market, rather than new workers entering the market, a researcher from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco finds.
In an economic letter, Regis Barnichon uses Current Population Survey data to measure the flows of workers aged 25 to 55 in and out the labour force from 1976 to 2018.
The slowdown in outflows was the predominant force behind the increase in labour force participation in the last four
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