Negative rates could have sped up US recovery – San Fran Fed paper

Output gap could have been reduced by as much as half compared to actual figures, researcher says

negative-rates-trendline

Negative interest rates from the Federal Reserve could have lessened the severity of the recession and sped up the recovery, a paper published by the San Francisco Fed finds.

In the paper, Vasco Cúrdia uses a model to estimate the underlying conditions in the economy since the crisis and then simulates a scenario where the Federal funds rate was set below zero. He then looks at how the output gap and inflation rate path developed in the scenario and in the actual data.  

He finds that reducing

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.

Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to Central Banking? View our subscription options

Register for Central Banking

All fields are mandatory unless otherwise highlighted

This address will be used to create your account

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Central Banking account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account

.