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Researchers propose adapted methodology to assess money market microstructure
The standard algorithm used to assess bilateral exposures in the interbank market needs adapting to make it robust to zero and negative interest rates, two economists argue
Bank of Russia unveils framework for insurance industry regulation
Russia’s central bank will monitor insurance companies for compliance with financial ratios and other indicators; has set up institute for risk management in insurance industry
Guy Debelle reviews forex code progress ahead of first-phase release in May
Global code to be implemented as principles rather than rules; regulators may implement with element of variation depending on market participants, Debelle notes
Fed officials lower expectations of rate increases
Fed officials forecast rate increase of 50bp this year, compared with 100bp in December; Yellen “wary” of recent increase in headline inflation
Tests find New Zealand banks ‘robust’ to dairy stress
Stress tests conducted by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in late 2015 find five largest lenders to dairy sector can withstand further drops in payout and land values
Bank capital matters for risk-taking channel of monetary policy, Norges Bank paper finds
Less capitalised Norwegian banks are more likely to extend credit to risky firms in response to a cut in the policy rate, author finds
Equities support Danish central bank's profits in 2015
Move into riskier assets contributes to profits in 2015, in addition to significant returns from defending the krone; costs are also on the rise following major IT project
San Marino’s new central bank chief faces NPL challenge
Staff at IMF stress need for “comprehensive strategy” to clean up balance sheets in the banking sector; Wafik Grais takes office as chairman of the central bank after prolonged vacancy
Slovenia report simulates effects of structural reforms
Report by local institute, in co-operation with the central bank and OECD, argues the time is “ripe” for structural reform in Slovenia; suggests long-term benefits outweigh short-term costs
PBoC and MAS extend $46bn swap line
Renewal of currency arrangement follows deepening of cross-border integration measures introduced last year
IMF paper examines effect of ‘winning the oil lottery’
Research into the impact of oil discovery in certain municipalities in Brazil shows GDP per capita and urbanisation on the rise
Romanian government policies may put financial stability at risk, IMF and EC staff say
European Commission and IMF staff raise concerns over some measures, including draft laws on loans and debt clearance; IMF staff suggest the central bank adopts a “tightening bias”
Stressed governments persuade banks to increase bond buying, paper finds
European governments under fiscal stress persuaded domestic banks to increase their holdings of sovereign debt, a paper from The Netherlands Bank finds
BoJ spells out operational details for negative rates
Policy board will review exemptions from negative interest rate every three months; banks given new incentive to borrow from the central bank under its targeted programmes
Research sheds light on RBNZ concerns over inflation expectations
Article authored by, among others, John McDermott argues the risk of inflation expectations losing their anchor has increased; concerns were a ‘primary motive’ for last week’s rate cut
Rajan offers solution to global policy spillovers
RBI governor sketches rating system designed to hold central banks to account; frank discussion may be enough, he says, but tougher rules in the style of Bretton Woods are also an option
Flug outlines state of play on Israeli credit information database
Governor says new database established and operated by Bank of Israel will strike a balance between being comprehensive and relevant; key appointments to follow
Zeti stresses need to protect independence when central banks get broad mandates
Central banks in emerging economies often find themselves tackling difficult reforms as they are best equipped for the challenge, she says, but this can only work if certain conditions hold
Macro-prudential policy must give guidance on how to deleverage, paper says
Different deleveraging methods have varying effects on the economy, ECB working paper finds; policy-makers must give banks concrete guidance on how they implement certain measures
Basel disclosure proposals add ‘dashboard’ of risk metrics
Fresh proposals on Basel III disclosure aim to simplify comparison of banks’ prudential positions; banks will also have to disclose “benchmark” risk weights based on standardised approach
Bank of Russia obliges non-banks to join officially recognised self-regulatory bodies
All non-bank financial institutions in Russia must join one of seven officially recognised self-regulatory organisations; newly formed companies must comply within 180 days
‘Compositional’ drag on wages set to fade, BoE article finds
Labour force composition has changed markedly in recent years, putting downward pressure on wages, but recent data implies the effect may soon dissipate, researchers say
RBNZ keeps settlement system due to lack of suitable bids
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will retain its securities settlement system and depository, despite hoping to find it a new owner; also investing in separate platforms for NZClear and Esas
Paper uses machine learning to nowcast GDP in Lebanon
Working paper published by IMF explores use of machine learning technique in assessing economic conditions in Lebanon, where analysis is a ‘distinct challenge’ on account of data lags