Articles by Central Banking Newsdesk
RBI paper explores challenges in public debt management
Research identifies a ‘narrow investor base’ as one hurdle and considers how to encourage greater participation from retail investors in the market for government securities
Lockhart says Fed liftoff is ‘close’
Atlanta Fed president highlights ‘cumulative evidence’ of economic recovery and says he is willing to sanction the first rate increase in the face of ‘mixed data’
Sarb governor airs concerns over inflation expectations
Lesetja Kganyago says the five-year inflation expectations of analysts, business people and trade unionists are ‘uncomfortably close’ to top end of inflation target
Icelandic paper looks for early-warning signals across past crises
Working paper identifies six clusters of financial crises in the country since 1875; finds macroeconomic variables give a ‘more robust warning signal’ than financial alternatives
Bank of Canada paper flags risk of spillovers from emerging to developed economies
Researchers show how a search for safe assets could transmit instability to developed economies as capital flows out of emerging markets
PBoC revamps 100 yuan note
New versions of China’s highest denomination note include improved security features to fight counterfeiting and improve machine-readability
Lobbying softens regulatory treatment of distressed banks in US, paper finds
Under-capitalised US banks are less likely to be rigorously supervised if they have exercised political or regulatory influence, a working paper published by the ECB finds
Swedish deputy wants macro-pru tools for non-banks
Policy-makers must develop new macro-prudential tools for addressing risk in the non-banking sector, warns Sveriges Riksbank’s Cecilia Skingsley
NBIM report urges stock exchanges to prepare for next phase of development
Technological and regulatory changes have led to faster, more fragmented markets, and stock exchanges need to adapt if they are to keep up; latency race to zero is a ‘dead end’, says fund
ECB researchers examine flight to safety during sovereign debt crisis
Working paper tracks geographical distribution of capital flight, finding different movements by intra-eurozone and external investors; movements ceased when OMTs were unveiled
Spanish paper puts crisis legacy into context
Working paper suggests long-run trends in population and productivity growth could hamper the ability of policy-makers to address the legacy of the crisis
BIS economists warn of emerging market policy dilemma
Emerging markets are increasingly exposed to monetary policy in developed economies, transmitted via lower long-run rates, and it is not clear what central banks can do about it
African central banks must heed changes to inflation drivers, study argues
IMF working paper argues policy-makers in sub-Saharan Africa may have to pay more attention to inflation now demand shocks exert greater influence on prices
Chile and IMF divided on potential growth
Latest staff report reveals difference in views on long-term growth of the Chilean economy, in line with earlier comments made by the central bank governor
ECB paper models joint default risk with fat tails
Researchers reject normal distribution in favour of one with fatter tails, find ‘unprecedented’ tail risks in 2011-12 fell sharply after the OMT announcement
RBA’s Ellis is grateful lending standards to first-time buyers have not eased
Head of financial stability tells standing committee the prevalence of investors in the housing market could be pricing aspiring first-time buyers out of a move, but only ‘at the margin’
Bangladesh Bank will oversee creation of $500 million fund
World Bank and Bangladesh Bank putting up the money to finance longer-term projects in the economy, with some cash ring-fenced for ‘greening initiatives’
Nigeria bans foreign currency cash deposits
Central bank move comes as part of a clampdown on ‘illicit funds’ passing through banks; follows a series of measures aimed at stabilising exchange rate
Bundesbank’s Buch casts doubt on Greek debt relief as talks end
Deputy president takes stance at loggerheads with IMF as latest round of negotiations draws to a close; Greek finance minister strikes upbeat note
Norges Bank paper outlines forecasting method for big data
Researchers aim to forecast US stock market and economy using a Bayesian non-parametric model, with a dataset large enough that computing power becomes a problem
Market expectations respond to contractionary shocks, Chilean paper argues
Monetary expectations in major eurozone economies are responsive to contractionary shocks but not expansionary ones, a paper published by the Chilean central bank argues
Hungarian council reflects on gradual pace of rate cuts
Several council members suggest the Central Bank of Hungary was able to make a series of ‘cautious reductions’ in the interest rate because it had gained credibility
Bank of Central African States floats novel way of pooling reserves
IMF urges member states in Central African Economic and Monetary Community to comply with requirement to pool FX reserves and earnings; BEAC proposes new method for achieving this
Singapore MD imagines gleaming future for island state
Ravi Menon delivers a speech looking back from an imagined 2065, highlighting the potential of both Singapore and the wider South-east Asian economy