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Williams: weak productivity, population growth keep rates low
The “new normal” implies a federal funds rate at 2.5%, says San Francisco’s John Williams
Basel Committee in ‘last few metres’ of post-crisis marathon
Secretary-general says it would be unwise to quit with the finish line so close, but adds the committee won’t be running another marathon for a while
FSB members press ahead with new cyber-risk rules
Over 70% of FSB members say they plan to launch new measures in the next year; private sector emphasises need for better training
People: FSB appoints new secretary-general
ADB’s East Asia department and International Association of Deposit Insurers also gain new heads
Colombian banking sector not at risk despite homogeneity – paper
Economist examines diversity of Colombian banking sector and notes “distance” between banks is low; lending and funding portfolios are most similar, author says
Philippines central bank seeks to allay concerns on FDI slowdown
Foreign direct investment into the Philippines dropped 37.9% in the year to July; government is struggling to meet ambitious growth targets
Riksbank simulates a payments crisis scenario
Central bank deems offline payments and withdrawals a suitable alternative to credit cards
Blanchard and Summers call for rethink of stabilisation policy
Both economists question consensus on fiscal prudence and advocate stricter financial regulation
BoE paper sheds light on global policy transmission
Comparison of UK and Hong Kong based on bank-level data finds evidence of both portfolio and funding effects
Fed’s Powell: normalisation will be ‘manageable’ for emerging markets
Fed governor says current capital flows appear to be in line with fundamentals; corporate debts a vulnerability but “situation is not alarming”
ECB strongly criticises Slovenian draft law on central bank
Proposals would put legal burden of proof in banking crisis cases on central bank, ECB says
Birr plunges 15% as Ethiopia devalues currency
Move aims to tackle “severe” forex shortage; IMF recommends higher interest rates and more flexible exchange rate
FOMC split over inflation forecasts, minutes show
Participants expressed concern that low inflation this year might reflect not only transitory factors
IMF cautions global vulnerabilities put growth at risk
Fund calls central banks to provide needed monetary support while tackling underlying threats
Bahamian central bank proposes law change to cap government debt holdings
New legal framework for Bahamas central bank would enforce “comprehensive” limits on government debt; holdings of long-term government debt stand at 12.52%
Emerging market incomes continue to grow despite trade impacts – Lagarde
Trade has not impacted emerging markets as negatively as their advanced counterparts, Lagarde says, as incomes continue to grow
Stressed banks may hamper deleveraging in eurozone periphery – ECB paper
Researchers use data on more than 400,000 companies and 900 banks from seven eurozone countries
Swing pricing can help ease liquidity pressure – BIS paper
Open-ended mutual funds can mitigate the risk of “self-fulfilling” runs by using the pricing technique, researchers say
Fed policy has had bigger impact on global liquidity since 2009
A 25bp rate cut causes a cross-border lending growth to rise of two percentage points, versus 0.8 before the crisis, researchers find
DNB warns of overheating in Dutch housing market
Government should raise borrowing limits and reduce mortgage interest tax relief – DNB
Irish firms must plan for ‘hard Brexit’, central bank official says
The UK’s exit from the single market is within the “planning horizon”, says Gerry Cross
Firms with greater liquidity needs benefit more from higher public debt – research
The positive effect of government debt on industry stems from domestic debt, not external debt, author finds
IMF recommends Spain take a tougher approach on NPLs
Fund advises central bank to set up a group to oversee public asset management company Sareb
Bank of Canada paper studies capital control motivations
Researcher designs policy rule to study whether capital controls are imposed with “mercantilist” or “macro-prudential” motivations