Labour market
Wage growth refuses to budge, RBA’s Lowe says
Governor notes employment levels have improved and will continue to improve over the policy horizon, but wage growth continues to disappoint
Rates on hold after Yellen’s final FOMC meeting
New committee finds unanimity on rate hold, as Janet Yellen prepares to step down
Menon warns of Singapore's ‘demographic trilemma’
MAS chief says Singapore “must accept” slower growth of the labour force, but should also face up to the need for solutions
Big data can give valuable labour market signal – Fed paper
High-frequency private payroll data is useful in forecasting the labour market, researchers find
Fall in hours worked can flatten Phillips curve, Italian paper says
Changes to “intensive margin of labour utilisation” may make inflation less responsive to employment
Older workforce will reduce Danish growth, central bank says
Reforms to expand labour supply are needed to offset negative effects of demography
Demographic changes reduce US labour participation rate
As the baby boomer generation retires, the recovery cannot offset their absence
BoE expects UK inflation slowdown
Bank of England keeps rates on hold at 0.5%; disinflationary base effects likely to outweigh tightening labour market in near term
Fed hikes as Yellen hails strong job growth
Janet Yellen gives her last press conference as Federal Reserve chair
BoE says ‘there will always be differences in levels of pay’
Pay gap revelation shows women at the UK central bank are paid over a fifth less than their male counterparts due to fewer women occupying senior management roles
December hike in focus despite FOMC inflation worries
Some Fed policymakers fret that inflation expectations are too low to bring inflation back to target, but broad view is of an economy gathering pace
Bank of England pulls trigger on rate hike
Committee split 7-2, but Carney strikes hawkish note on need for further hikes
BoE’s new MPC members disagree on future path of hikes
New deputy Dave Ramsden sees current degree of slack to be too great to warrant removal of stimulus, while Tenreyro believes it cannot “persist for too long”
Emerging market incomes continue to grow despite trade impacts – Lagarde
Trade has not impacted emerging markets as negatively as their advanced counterparts, Lagarde says, as incomes continue to grow
Markets upbeat on strengthening US wage growth figures
Non-farm payrolls drop slightly but wages appear to be gathering pace; figures impacted by hurricanes Irma and Harvey
Chicago Fed’s Evans sees little risk of inflation surge
Study by the Chicago Fed finds little evidence there could be a threshold in unemployment beyond which inflation may surge
Cleveland Fed’s Mester upbeat on prospects for US economy
Loretta Mester backs continued gradual rate rises and the commencement of balance sheet normalisation “in the near future”
Racial wage gaps in US caused by ‘harder-to-measure’ factors
Lack of opportunity plays bigger role than education and profession in racial inequality, paper finds
San Francisco Fed research explores evolution of job-matching efficiency
As people out of the labour force are included, the volatility of the job-to-job transition rate falls, economists find
New NY Fed dataset shows weakening labour market
New York Fed unveils new, more granular labour market data; results so far indicate wage growth is still elusive
FOMC divided on how to proceed with policy
Strong jobs growth, but below-target inflation leaves some members emphasising room to be patient, while others warn of a potential overshoot
Kansas Fed paper looks at impact of recessions on US workers
Participation rate of “prime-age” workers most likely to vary with business cycle, paper says
BoE: market pricing implies two rate rises in next three years
Markets project first rate rise in Q3 2018, but committee says tightening may need to come sooner; MPC sees mixed picture for labour market
Flexible working may shift Nairu, ECB’s Mersch warns
Technology may increase insecurity and weaken collective bargaining, says senior ECB figure