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Research

Challenges for central banks in an enlarged EMU

A new book analyses the challenges that lie in front of the EU as it used to be, the hurdles that have to be cleared by possible candidates, and the impact of these developments on important economic sectors like the financial markets.

What's behind real exchange rate moves?

A new working paper from the Bank of England's economic research engine room looks into the reasons for past movements in exchange rates. In contrast to the "benchmark model" in this field, the paper finds an important role for nominal shocks in…

Paper: Central bank credibility during ERM crisis

Financial markets embed expectations of central bank policy into asset prices. The Working Paper "Assessing central bank credibility during the ERM crises: Comparing option and spot market-based forecasts" from the Center for Financial Studies compares…

Kansas Fed Paper on inflation targeters

The Kansas Fed Working Paper "Do we really know how inflation targeters set interest rates?" published July 2005 says under inflation targeting regimes other objectives that possibly conflict with the inflation goal are present.

IMF Paper: The use and abuse of Taylor Rules

The IMF Working Paper "The use and abuse of Taylor Rules: How precisely can we estimate them?" published on Tuesday 9 August draws attention to inconsistencies in estimating simple monetary policy rules and their implications for policy advice.

Progress toward regional integration in the WAEMU

The IMF Working Paper "Ten years after the CFA franc devaluation: Progress toward regional integration in the WAEMU" takes stock of the achievements toward integration in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) 10 years after the 1994…

ECB paper on large-value payment systems

The ECB Working Paper "Incorporating a 'public good factor' into the pricing of large-value payment systems" considers optimal pricing rules for a public large-value payment system (LVPS) that produces a public good (like prevention of systemic risk) but…

The decline of Japan's saving rate

The Bank of Japan Working Paper "The decline of Japan's saving rate and demographic effects" investigates the phenomenon in which Japan's household saving rate showed a sharp decline even during the long stagnation period called "the lost decade."

ECB paper on rules for a currency union

The ECB Working Paper "Fiscal and monetary rules for a currency union" published on Thursday 21 July addresses the question of the joint conduct of fiscal and monetary policy in a currency union.

Chicago Fed National Activity Index, June 2005

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for June 2005 was +0.28 in June, up from -0.03 in May. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index - production and income, consumption and housing, and sales, orders, and inventories -…

Monetary policy predictability in the euro area

The ECB Working Paper "Monetary policy predictability in the euro area: an international comparison" published Thursday evaluates the ability of market participants to anticipate monetary policy decisions in the euro area and in 13 other countries.

RBA paper on underlying inflation

The Reserve Bank of Australia Discussion Paper "Underlying inflation: Concepts, measurement and performance" published on 21 July explores the concept of underlying inflation and the properties of various measures of underlying inflation in the…

Risk management and regulation in banking

A joint workshop by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, the Centre for Economic Policy Research (London), and the Journal of Financial Intermediation, will be held at the Bank for International Settlements, Basel, Switzerland, 29-30 June 2006.

Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Report, Jul 2005

The Federal Reserve published its July 2005 Monetary Policy Report to the Congress on Wednesday 20 July. The U.S. economy continued to expand at a solid pace over the first half of 2005 despite the restraint imposed on aggregate demand by a further rise…

ECB Monthly Bulletin, July 2005

The European Central Bank published its July 2005 Monthly Bulletin on Thursday 14 July. The report said there is not yet any sign that a sustained economic recovery has started in the euro zone.

Good/bad deflation and Japanese economic recovery

The Discussion Paper "Good deflation/bad deflation and Japanese economic recovery" says economic history suggests that technological progress can go hand in hand with general deflation. It finds that short-run shocks to Japan's relative price structure…

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