Research
IMF paper on emerging bond markets
The IMF Working Paper "The impact of macroeconomic announcements on emerging market bonds" examines how emerging bond markets react to macroeconomic announcements.
RBA Statement on Monetary Policy, May 2005
The Reserve Bank of Australia published its May 2005 Statement on Monetary Policy on 6 May. The global economic upswing is continuing in 2005 with growth being led mainly by the United States and China, the report says.
Central Bank of Ireland, Quarterly Bulletin 2/2005
Ireland's central bank published its second Quarterly Bulletin for 2005 on Wednesday 4 May. The Bulletin reports that Ireland should enjoy continued strong economic growth in 2005 and 2006 but faces potential problems from the high price of oil and the…
Fed Reserve Bank of St Louis Review, May/June 2005
The latest edition of the St Louis Fed's Review for May-June 2005 includes the articles "Monetary policy and commodity futures" and "Using implied volatility to measure uncertainty about interest rates".
BoJ: Outlook for Economic Activity & Prices Apr 05
The Bank of Japan has published the English version of its April 2005 Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices report. The report says Japan's economy remains on a recovery trend, despite a recent pause due partly to adjustments in production and…
IMF Working Paper on international reserves
The IMF Working Paper "A fiscal price tag for international reserves" examines the (quasi-)fiscal impact of the (opportunity) cost of international reserves. The paper suggests that while most countries made money on their reserves during 1990-2001, most…
Danmarks Nationalbank, Monetary Review 1st Q 2005
The Danmarks Nationalbank's Monetary Review for the First Quarter 2005 includes the articles: Risks on settlement of large payments, The 10-year yield spread between Denmark and Germany, Relations between stock prices and bond yields and Hedge funds in…
Norges Bank, Economic Bulletin, April 2005
Norges Bank, the central bank of Norway, has published its April 2005 Economic Bulletin. The Bulletin includes the address "Economic perspectives" by Governor Svein Gjedrem, and the articles "Evaluation of Norges Bank's projections for 2004", "What…
New book challenges role of the Bank of Japan
A new controversial theory that could transform the world of economics has been drawn up by a University of Southampton academic in a book described by Professor Charles Goodhart as "both a powerful and important book".
IMF paper on central bank transparency
The IMF Working Paper "Transparency in central bank financial statement disclosures" looks at the disclosure requirements for central banks under International Financial Reporting Standards and provides practical guidance for those responsible for…
Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report, March 2005
The Deutsche Bundesbank has published the English version of its March 2005 Monthly Report. Real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2004 was down 0.2% on the figure for the preceding three-months.
Sveriges Riksbank Economic Review 1st Quarter 2005
The Sveriges Riksbank has published its Economic Review for the 1st Quarter 2005. This year's first issue contains four articles: on the relationship between monetary policy and employment, on the inflation target, on the upswing in productivity growth…
Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, Apr 2005
According to the firms surveyed for the Philadelphia Fed's Business Outlook Survey, April 2005, activity in the region's manufacturing sector continues to expand.
Fed Reserve Bank of St Louis Review, Mar/Apr 2005
The latest edition of the St Louis Fed's Review for March-April 2005 includes an article by Allan Meltzer "Origins of the Great Inflation". The Great Inflation from 1965 to 1984 is the climactic monetary event of the last part of the 20th century. The…
A post-reflation monetary framework for Japan
Modifications to Japan's monetary policy framework will be needed as positive inflation resumes because the current monetary regime and operations are tailored to ending deflation, this IMF Working Paper says.
Does excess liquidity pose a threat in Japan?
This IMF Discussion Paper examines the effects of quantitative easing implemented by the Bank of Japan since early 2001, looking specifically at the impact on inflation expectations and real asset prices.
IMF paper on cb losses in selected countries
The IMF Working Paper "Central bank losses and experiences in selected countries" April 2005 says that under normal circumstances, a central bank should be able to operate at a profit with a core level of earnings derived from seigniorage. However,…
SARB Financial Stability Review, March 2005
The South African Reserve Bank has published the March 2005 edition of its Financial Stability Review. In its latest report the SARB says the resilience of the global financial system improved further during the second half of 2004, mainly as a result of…
Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Mar 2005
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for March 2005 was +0.11, down from +0.22 in February. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that comprise the index made positive contributions last month, according to the CFNAI.
Link between central bank independence & inflation
This IMF Working Paper published on 21 April reviews central bank legislation in 24 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean during the 1990s. Using panel regressions, the authors find a negative relationship between legal central bank independence …
The econometrics of macroeconomic modelling
Four researchers who are affiliated with the Research Department in Norges Bank have published a book on empirical macroeconomic modelling. The book has its origin in empirical research on inflation which has been carried out in Norges Bank over the past…
ECB Monthly Bulletin, April 2005
The European Central Bank published its April 2005 Monthly Bulletin on Thursday 14 April, saying there are "no clear signs" that economic growth in the twelve nation euro zone is set to accelerate as record oil prices weigh on business conditions.
St Louis Fed's Regional Economist, April 2005
The Regional Economist, April 2005 edition from the St Louis Fed includes the article "The trickle-down effect of Basel II" which says the new banking accord could make survival for some regional and community banks more difficult. Also included is "So…
IMF Global Financial Stability Report, Apr 2005
The International Monetary Fund's Global Financial Stability Report for April 2005 says bigger than expected rises in long-term interest rates, or a sharp fall in the dollar, pose risks to a financial system that is at its most resilient in a long time.