Research
Inflation targeting arrangements in Asia
The SCAPE Working Paper "Inflation targeting arrangements in Asia: Exploring the role of the exchange rate" presents an analysis of some of the issues relevant to Asian central banks implementing an inflation targeting arrangement with specific focus on…
Establishing credibility at the ECB
The IIIS Discussion Paper "Establishing credibility: Evolving perceptions of the European Central Bank" looks at the first years of the ECB to consider whether, and how, central bank credibility evolves.
IMF paper on central banks and seigniorage
The IMF Working Paper "Spending seigniorage: Do central banks have a governance problem?" published March 2006 reviews how central banks allocate seigniorage, based on systematic crosscountry comparisons of their financial accounts.
Term structure transmission of monetary policy
According to this December 2005 Kansas City Fed Working Paper, the sensitivity of bond rates to macro variables appears to vary both over time and over forecast horizons.
Liquidity provision in a model of payments
The Federal Reserve Working Paper "Alternative central bank credit policies for liquidity provision in a model of payments" explores alternative central bank policies for liquidity provision in a model of payments.
Market of foreign exchange hedge in Brazil
The IBMEC Economics Discussion Paper "The market of foreign exchange hedge in Brazil: Reactions of financial institutions to interventions of the central bank" says that between 1999 and 2002, Brazil's central bank sold expressive amounts of dollar…
A dynamic model of central bank intervention
This January 2005 Working Paper from the Central Bank of Turkey examines central bank intervention in foreign exchange markets using a dynamic censored regression model.
Illiquidity in the interbank payment system
The March 2006 New York Fed Staff Report "Illiquidity in the interbank payment system following wide-scale disruptions" shows how the interbank payment system can become illiquid following wide-scale disruptions.
The evolving inflation process: an overview
This BIS Working Paper reviews analytical work carried out by central banks that participated in the Autumn Meeting of Central Bank Economists on "The evolving inflation process" which the BIS hosted on 28-29 October 2005.
IMF paper on banks during the Argentine crisis
According to the IMF Working Paper "Banks during the Argentine crisis: Were they all hurt equally? Did they all behave equally?" published February 2006, the simple answer to both questions in the title is: No.
The monetary transmission mechanism in Jordan
This IMF Working Paper, published February 2006, examines monetary transmission in Jordan using the vector autoregressive approach.
Past and future of central bank cooperation
The BIS on Tuesday published papers from its fourth Annual Conference on Past and Future of Central Bank Cooperation, held as part of the Bank's 75th anniversary celebrations, on 27-29 June 2005.
Changes in the Federal Reserve's inflation target
The Boston Fed Working Paper "Changes in the Federal Reserve's inflation target: causes and consequences" estimates a New Keynesian model to draw inferences about the behavior of the Federal Reserve's unobserved inflation target.
Evolving perceptions of the European Central Bank
The New York Fed Staff Report "Establishing credibility: evolving perceptions of the European Central Bank" says the perceptions of a central bank's inflation aversion may reflect institutional structure or, more dynamically, the history of its policy…
ECB statements and interest rate predictability
The DNB Working Paper "Is a word to the wise indeed enough? ECB statements and the predictability of interest rate decisions" shows that comments by euro area central bankers contain information on future ECB interest rate decisions, but that the…
Monetary policy by committee: Why and how?
In this De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper, published February 2006, Alan Blinder discusses two questions: Why have so many central banks switched from individual to group decision making, and how?
ECB paper on the euro cash changeover
The ECB Working Paper "Rational inattention, inflation developments and perceptions after the euro cash changeover" uses the euro cash changeover to test theories of finite information-processing capacities on the side of consumers.
Macroeconomic challenges with EU accession
The IMF Working Paper "Macroeconomic challenges with EU accession in Southeastern Europe: An overview" published February 2006 reviews key macroeconomic challenges with EU accession in Southeastern Europe (SEE).
IMF Paper on forecasting ECB monetary policy
Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multicountry, multicultural, and multilingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. This IMF Working Paper published February 2006 asks how this heterogeneity affects the ability of…
Suppressed inflation and money demand in Zimbabwe
This International Monetary Fund Working Paper investigates the divergence between inflation and monetary expansion in Zimbabwe since late 2003.
ECB paper: A new theory of forecasting
This ECB Working Paper argues that forecast estimators should minimise the loss function in a statistical, rather than deterministic, way.
Research on inflation targetting
In this theoretical paper Felipe F. Schwartzman of Princeton University looks at how inflation-targeting central banks using target bands, as opposed to point targets, can go about addressing both inflation and stability biases.
IMF paper on bank regulation
This new IMF working paper argues that "banks will want to influence the bank regulator to favor their interests, and they typically have the means to do so".
New book on South Africa from the IMF
The International Monetary Fund has published a new book entitled, "Post-Apartheid South Africa: The First Ten Years". The authors, Michael Nowak and Luca Ricci, argue that "in successfully navigating the transition from apartheid to democracy, the…