Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis
Smaller US banks face unequal real estate risk, paper says
St Louis Fed research finds lenders hold 40% to 75% of commercial real estate debt

Pandemic may have altered US credit score reporting – paper
Government support and spending changes improved many individuals' ratings, researchers find

People: July to September 2023
A round-up of central bankers in the news and on the move during the past three months

US inflation hurting poorer citizens – St Louis Fed research
Nearly 90% of low-income households report significant stress from inflation
AI can forecast inflation more accurately than professionals – St Louis Fed
Large language models may be powerful tools but have some drawbacks, researchers say
Bullard steps down as St Louis Fed president
FOMC hawk will become dean of Purdue Business School after 15 years leading regional Fed
Book notes: O Governador, by Luis Rosa
Documents Carlos Costa’s clashes with Portugal’s elite during the eurozone sovereign debt crisis
No significant risk of US recession – St Louis Fed research
Sahm Rule and leading economic data indicate low – but not zero – recession risk
Fed’s Bullard revises rate projection upward
Policy-maker says bank stress likely to fade but inflation fight continues
Crypto ‘mixer’ regulation could be simple – Fed research
Counterparties could be obliged to follow similar rules as for cash
St Louis Fed president appeared at private Citigroup event
Media was not invited to October 14 talk by FOMC member Bullard
Regional Fed presidents signal resolve and acknowledge recession risks
Fed’s Collins, Mester, Bullard, Evans, Kashkari and Daly speak on the path ahead for policy
Housing affordability dropping across the US
Fed’s large rate hikes and constrained housing supply create tough market for buyers
Williams also expects US to avoid recession this year
Unemployment will likely rise to 4% as growth slows due to tightening process, says NY Fed head
Fed keeps investors guessing on speed and endpoint of tightening
Investors generally agree the Fed will tighten policy, but how much and when are unclear
Central bank social media trends in the ‘Instagram age’
Uptake of visual social media platforms rises, as Facebook usage plateaus
Is Powell still on track for second term?
Despite scandals and vocal criticism, support still looks likely to outweigh opposition
Fed ethics officials warned against trades
March 2020 advice cautioned against stock transactions in following months
Fed’s Bullard believes a ‘five-year window’ for AIT is ‘realistic’
Too much precision can “get you into trouble”, says St Louis Fed chief
Dallas Fed predicts 2022 core inflation above 2%
Economists expect auto and transportation costs to abate, but spike in housing prices
James Bullard on Fed policy, action and governance
St Louis president calls for tapering, quantifies AIT and details Congress’s role in Fed ethics
Fed joins Network for Indigenous Inclusion
Australian, Canadian and NZ central banks established group earlier this year
Regional Feds make string of appointments
Atlanta, Cleveland and Dallas Feds name officials, while St Louis appoints outside advisers
Some philosophical questions about the future of central banking
Kenneth Rogoff weighs up the many challenges facing central banks in the years ahead