Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
US inflation slowdown raises policy challenges
Inflation has seen a lull, but several factors indicate it could rebound
Fed vice-chair backs further tightening
Clarida says data likely to support further rate hikes as Mester warns US is “beyond full employment”
Senior Fed officials split over the state of US job market
Regional presidents and FOMC members see US under, approaching or beyond full employment
Forecasting yield curve inversion is hard – Cleveland Fed research
Inversions may be a “harbinger of recession” but seeing them coming is difficult, says economist
People: US Senate committee approves two Fed governors
Philippines appoints monetary board member; Cleveland Fed appoints director at Pittsburgh branch
US House passes deregulation bill with bipartisan support
Once President Trump signs it, measure will relieve some regional banks from stricter requirements
Don’t unwind financial regulation, says Fed’s Mester
Tighter regulatory measures have increased resiliency, Loretta Mester says
Mester backs review of Fed’s inflation targeting framework
Cleveland Fed president says 2% target may not be suitable for low interest rate environment
Fed should review monetary policy framework – Mester
Several FOMC members raised policy review at January meeting, Cleveland Fed president says
Mester advocates continuing 2017 rate path this year
Cleveland Fed president says the current policy balances inflation and growth risks
Mester puts forward innovations in policy communication
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland proposes focusing on explaining policy decisions
Fed could use rates to counter instability – Mester
2015 exercise showed major problems in use of macro-prudential tools, says Cleveland Fed chief
Low productivity might not be weighing on real rates – research
Long-run correlations imply there is little reason to believe low productivity is associated with low rates, Cleveland Fed economist finds
Cleveland Fed’s Mester upbeat on prospects for US economy
Loretta Mester backs continued gradual rate rises and the commencement of balance sheet normalisation “in the near future”
More power for US politicians reduces credit in their states, paper finds
Gains in power for politicians' power may increase banks’ ability to screen out lenders, researchers say
Fed should make sure it does not ‘fall behind’ – Mester
US central bank should “remain vigilant” as employment reaches full capacity and the balance sheet begins to unwind; the Cleveland Fed president sees more rate hikes this year
People: US assembles bank regulation team; Mrva reappointed
US administration begins assembling banking regulation team with OCC appointment; Slovakian board member appointed for fourth term; and more
Time to shrink Fed’s $4.5 trillion balance sheet, say presidents
Cleveland Fed president is “comfortable” changing reinvestment programme this year; balance sheet plan should be published as soon as possible, says Kashkari
Fed’s Mester says public should not hold policymakers to ‘unrealistic account’
Monetary policy cannot and should not be used to spur productivity growth, says FOMC member; unwinding of Fed’s mortgage portfolio may help guard it against calls to enter the realm of fiscal policy
People: Central banks of Spain and Afghanistan appoint new deputy governors
Career central banker Javier Alonso promoted to deputy in Spain, Bank of Afghanistan names new first deputy governor, and more
Fiscal stimulus works even in debt-driven recessions – Cleveland Fed paper
Study uses defence spending to estimate fiscal multiplier, finding it is higher in areas with larger debt burdens, contrary to the fears of some economists
Rate delay could deprive Fed of tools in future, warns Mester
Cleveland Fed president says there is a “non-negligible chance” unconventional tools will be deemed as “ultimately ineffective” by the public if the Fed is too slow to normalise policy
Mester favours ‘error band’ around FOMC projections
Cleveland Fed president Loretta Mester would like to some kind of “error band” introduced around FOMC projections, to reflect the uncertainty the committee is grappling with
Cleveland Fed president ‘fully supported’ rate hike
Loretta Mester expresses support for FOMC’s decision in December, but notes greater importance of policy path than date of lift-off for macroeconomic performance