Economics
Eurozone returns to growth in Q2
Employment increases, but economic expansion is uneven across economies
Negative yields decline in Dutch bond markets
Sovereign bonds account for majority of securities yielding negative returns
Global economy faces ‘decisive moment’ – IMF’s Gaspar and Gopinath
Policy-makers have “window of opportunity” to help those falling behind in Covid-19 recovery
Link between US labour costs and inflation has weakened – ECB paper
US can sustain robust labour markets without risking inflation outbreak, researchers say
Energy prices boost Norway’s headline inflation to 3%
Core index declines to 1.1%, the lowest level in almost four years
OECD flags early signs of ‘moderating’ growth
Slowdown is widespread in advanced economies, but emerging markets see greater divergence
PBoC plays down surge in factory-gate prices
PPI and CPI in July both higher than expected, but central bank says pressure is “controllable”
Ecuador central bank doubles BIS credit line
Central bank to treat funds as precautionary to deal with a future downturn
‘Unstable, unreliable and temporary’: paper explores global co-operation
Policy-makers should heed JM Keynes’ 1919 warning, say Michael Bordo and Catherine Schenk
Why diversity matters for economic policy
The head of the Cleveland Fed's new Program for Economic Inclusion, Dionissi Aliprantis, explains why diversity should be an important factor in the US central bank's decision-making
Eurozone inflation up to 2.2% in July
Germany records 3.1% inflation rate, France 1.6%, Italy 0.9%
Ignoring fire sales weakens stress tests – Bank of Austria paper
Paper presents new method for calculating effects of deleveraging by distressed banks
BoE’s Vlieghe: central bankers must speak up about economic fragility
Outgoing MPC member says impact of debt and inequality is “stark”, but goes beyond central banking
Macro-pru can help avoid ‘reversal interest rate’ – Bundesbank paper
Use of capital ratios can aid eurozone monetary policy, researchers say
BoE paper builds GDP-at-risk model
Authors generate “fat-tailed” distribution to explore economy’s tendency to hit lower bound on rates
Eurozone fiscal deficit declines in Q1
Lower imbalance due to lower spending; revenue remained stable as a share of GDP
Inflation fears are ‘overstated’ – BIS research
‘Little evidence’ of the forces that normally lead to persistent inflation, bulletin article says
Paper analyses eurozone consumers’ inflation expectations
Short-term views, trust and Covid-19 shaped medium-term expectations – Bank of Finland paper
US faces surge in actual and expected inflation
Data shows 5.4% CPI inflation over past year and consumers expect 4.8% rise over next
Unemployment has non-linear relationship to inflation – Fed paper
Authors say their findings could be relevant to debates over inflation targets
BdF paper analyses inflation tolerance ranges
Ranges “should not be zones of inaction” and may have unfavourable trade-offs, researchers say
IMF agrees with Fed on ‘transitory’ inflation
Georgieva says recent inflation spike likely to pass; supports Biden’s fiscal plans
US unemployment rate stable at 5.9%
Little sign of ‘substantial further progress’ FOMC wants to see before taper