Unemployment
BoE faces its toughest test in four years
Path to contain inflation from supply-side shocks is different compared with 2022–23
Backdrop to energy shock ‘more benign’ than in 2022 – Lagarde
ECB president says it is still too early to tell if rates will have to rise in response
ECB holds rates, predicts 2.6% inflation for 2026
Lagarde presents gloomy outlook for eurozone inflation and growth as energy prices spike
‘Technology intensity’ worsens employment outcomes – study
Authors say jobs more likely to be lost in sectors with large prior investments in robotics and IT
Governor of the year: Jerome Powell
The Fed chair has shown high levels of integrity and resolve in upholding his public duty in the pursuit of price stability and maximum employment
Single and dual mandates often result in same policy – Schnabel
AI productivity boom yet to show up in eurozone data, ECB board member adds
RBA governor says conflict may require monetary policy response
Bullock says board considering potential supply shocks amid already high levels of inflation
Lagarde downplays odds of early exit
ECB president uses interviews to say she is on a ‘mission’ with a ‘baseline’ of serving out her term
Full ‘postmortem’ on QE yet to be written – Klaas Knot
Former DNB governor expects Fed to continue international monetary diplomacy under Warsh
BoE holds rates at 3.75% in yet another close decision
Good progress on disinflation and weak labour market open door for cut in March
Sveriges Riksbank holds rates, signals longer-term pause
Swedish economy continues to grow, despite ‘dramatic’ geopolitical developments, bank says
Fed risks president’s ire by holding rates
Experts say decision was obvious way to go, given US labour market and inflation figures
New England is pocket of recession risk in US – Fed study
Researchers say overall threat of national downturn is low, but requires monitoring nevertheless
Russia makes 50bp cut, citing falling inflation
Central bank says pro-inflationary risks are still greater than disinflationary ones
National central banks hold rates across Europe
Albania, Czech Republic, Hungary, Norway and Sweden all leave policy unchanged
European Central Bank holds rates
Updated forecast includes higher inflation and growth figures
Manufacturing will not be jobs engine in US – St Louis Fed study
Authors say periods of rising productivity in sector have been accompanied by drops in employment
Swiss central bank keeps rates at zero
SNB says developments in global economy still pose ‘main risk’ to domestic economic outlook
Fed cuts by 25bp amid another three-way split on FOMC
Miran votes for deeper cut, and Goolsbee and Schmid opt to hold, as experts point to stagflation risks
Czech Republic, Moldova and Norway hold rates
CNB says services inflation is still high, Moldova is recovering and Norway says it is in no hurry
Poland cuts rates, while Albania and Sweden hold
Riksbank warns of US stock market bubble
Rethinking policy transmission in the age of AI
Managing machine expectations related to faster, more non-linear and potentially asymmetric price dynamics will require analytical innovation and potentially new forms of oversight, argues Elisa Vilorio de Painter
Fed cuts rates with dissenting votes in both directions
Risks to employment and prices split FOMC three ways
US long-term unemployment uptick worries researchers
Minneapolis Fed authors point to ‘large and consequential trend’ upwards