Monetary policy
Davos panellists highlight risks posed by strong dollar
At the World Economic Forum, experts underline the risks of a strengthening dollar on not only US monetary policy, but also on emerging markets’ economies
Central Bank of Brazil discussed smaller hike at December meeting
Copom weighed a 50bps cut, but chose to “frontload” monetary easing, given anchored expectations and promising outlook for inflation
Carney: 250,000 jobs lost by 2018 if BoE had not acted after Brexit vote
BoE governor defends 2016 action by underlining policy trade-off, but warns consumers are "looking through" Brexit-related uncertainties
Policy tensions in China to become ‘more stark’ in 2017 – Menon
MAS head says China's authorities will have to use a fair amount of “policy dexterity” this year to deal with likely US rate rises and volatile international markets
Book notes: The Man Who Knew: The Life & Times of Alan Greenspan, by Sebastian Mallaby
An extensive account of Greenspan's life and achievements, but would have benefited from a closer analysis of his relationships with comrades at the Fed
Monitoring the labour market is key – BoE’s Saunders
Bank of England’s MPC member says unemployment should stay below the equilibrium 5% estimate in 2017 – but, should “warning signs appear”, changes to forecasts could be made
Riksbank dissenters raise range of concerns
Three officials objected to the Riksbank’s decision to expand its asset purchases at the meeting on December 20, for a variety of reasons, minutes show
Lacker to retire from Fed after 28 years
Jeffrey Lacker, who has a reputation as a monetary policy hawk, is to step down as Richmond Fed president in October; the search is on to find successor
Dollarisation is making monetary policy ineffective, Cambodian central bank says
Central bank actively promoting the use of riel instead of US dollar; reduced riel transaction costs among measures implemented
Defence and diversification key to fund success – HKMA deputy
Exchange fund is to continue diversifying into industries that can “counter” inflationary pressures, Yue says, as a challenging investment environment looks set to continue
Turkish central bank acts to support lira as inflation jumps
Central bank launches fresh measures to counter “unhealthy price formations”; inflation surprise in December adds to pressure for monetary policy action
Thai governor calls for rethink of monetary policy frameworks
New structure should systematically acknowledge the negative impact of monetary policy; Santiprabhob recognises macroprudential cannot take all the strain
Global value chains increasingly driving global inflation – BIS paper
Growth of global value chains limits the importance of domestic factors in creating inflation, complicating the jobs of central banks
Central Bank of Philippines to improve surveillance – Tetangco
Philippines has “ample” policy space to respond to risks, governor says, but monetary policy will only be enacted to prevent inflation deviation
Pablo Sánchez appointed to lead Central Bank of Bolivia
Academic to take over from Zabalaga after six years as president; latest IMF consultation highlights the disagreement with Bolivian authorities over independence and monetary policy
New data sheds light on policy spillover channels – BIS paper
Expanded data published by the BIS show how US dollar, euro and yen affect cross-border lending flows
Paper examines “puzzles” in monetary policy transmission
HKIMR paper highlights differences in monetary policy transmission between advanced and emerging markets; “puzzles” are more severe for emerging markets
Riksbank extends QE, despite dissent
Additional Skr30 billion of purchases takes Swedish QE programme to mid-2017; central bank cites continued risks to the outlook, but three members challenge decision
IMF paper shows US monetary conditions impact EM leverage
Impact is more pronounced for firms that are dependent on external financing, authors find; sample shows financial conditions have the ability to influence borrowing constraints
Icelandic paper finds evidence of rising natural rate
Authors attempt the notoriously difficult process of estimating the natural rate, using various models; rate appears to be on the rise
BIS: markets less beholden to central bank action
Political shocks appear to have jolted markets into a more healthy state, but it is not yet clear if this is the start of normalisation or a temporary phase
Riksbank’s Jansson rejects calls to scrap inflation target
Critics likely underestimate the benefits of the current monetary policy framework when calling for it to change, deputy governor says
Carney hits back at critics of monetary policy’s distributional impact
Monetary easing has disproportionately benefited the poor, BoE governor says; loss of open markets “would be a tragedy, but is a possibility”
Rate pass-through 'weaker and slower' in Mongolia – paper
Reforms at the Bank of Mongolia have improved the transmission mechanism, authors say, but there is plenty more work to do