Inflation
SNB struggles to end ultra-loose policy regime
The Swiss central bank’s hopes of normalising policy are being held back by weak expectations, a strong currency and policy actions abroad
Norges Bank board strikes more bullish tone on outlook
Stronger signs from the economy prompt the central bank to bring forward plans for first hike; new inflation target will have limited effect on policy, central bank says
RBI paper finds complexity in exchange rate pass-through
Authors argue the standard view of exchange rates having a “linear and symmetric” impact on prices is flawed
Financial frictions key to DSGE performance – NY Fed paper
Post-crisis period was a harsh testing ground for structural models, but the New York Fed’s DSGE model was at least equal to private forecasts, researchers say
Algerian monetary financing may stoke inflation, warns IMF
In September 2017, Algiers resorted to central bank financing of budget deficits
BoJ policymakers eye hopeful signs for inflation
Policy remains on hold as inflation shows some signs of greater strength; one member calls for further easing measures
Protectionism may have ‘serious consequences’ – Canada’s Lane
US tax reforms may affect Canada’s capacity to attract investment, warns deputy governor
ECB removes promise to increase bond purchases if needed
Stronger economic growth confirms previous confidence of rate-setters, Draghi says; ECB president criticises threatened tariffs
Poland delays first hike by one year
Central bank reduces its inflation forecasts for 2018 and 2019, and the zloty falls
IMF recommends Colombia improve policy communication
Fund considers the central bank has further room to lower interest rates
Bank of Canada on hold as council remains cautious
Officials see the need for further rate hikes in future, but say trade policy in the US is creating uncertainty for Canada
Malaysia central bank dismisses concerns over government cash handout
BNM says cash handout idea was “first mooted” by its board, dismissing the suggestion it was designed to “tempt” the Malaysian people
Tunisia raises rates by 75bp to tackle inflation
First hike under new governor comes as prices rose year-on-year by 7.1% in February
Low rates likely to persist in global economy, Riksbank’s Ingves says
Inflationary pressures remain weak, governor says; economic growth is a prerequisite for higher price pressures
IMF paper looks at how inflation anchoring affects growth
Authors examine whether low inflation and anchoring inflation are positive for growth
Norway lowers inflation target and changes policy mandate
The new mandate emphasises the need for high employment and financial stability
Measuring Venezuela’s hyperinflation
Steve Hanke discusses how economists can make use of high-frequency exchange rate data to track rapid price movements in Venezuela
Fed’s Powell expects strong US growth
Robust labour market likely to support income and consumer spending rises, Fed chair says
Solving the owner-occupied housing puzzle
A group of researchers has outlined what they see as a better method of integrating owner-occupied housing into the CPI, as the EU’s statistical agency wrestles with the problem
Bank of Korea unveils changes to its DSGE model
The existing model’s accuracy was reduced following structural changes in the economy
The winners of the 2018 Central Banking Awards
Bank of Canada wins Central Bank of the Year, Lesetja Kganyago picks up Governor of the Year and Perng Fai-nan receives Lifetime Achievement Award; 16 more awards unveiled
Fed anticipates higher growth and tighter policy
Policymakers consider the latest economic data warrants the continuation of gradual policy normalisation
Philadelphia Fed’s Harker forecasts only two hikes in 2018
Despite stronger growth and lower unemployment, inflation remains too weak
Central banks ‘walking a thin line’, BIS economists warn
Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva and Jochen Schanz note central banks have little room to respond aggressively to surprises