Inflation
Riksbank stresses pandemic’s unpredictability
Two board members thought it unnecessary to increase asset purchases, minutes show
RBI on hold as inflation outlook turns ‘adverse’
Central bank in a bind as supply problems drive up prices but growth still needs “nurturing”
Brazil central bank could ‘test’ lower rates if inflation remains weak – IMF
IMF staff see “no constraint” to lower rates as long as forward guidance is deployed
Forecast errors marginally higher for growth than inflation
Data shows contrast between advanced and emerging economies
Early estimate says eurozone inflation staying put
Eurostat estimates for November show core inflation also remained stable at 0.2%
RBA board not expecting to raise rates for three years – Lowe
Australian central bank leaves rates unchanged as governor forecasts unemployment will fall slowly
Monetary-fiscal policy co-operation and the ‘slippery slope’
Barry Eichengreen assesses the risks central banks face from their closer links to fiscal policy
Lessons from the Riksbank’s negative rates experiment
Sweden is the only nation to have implemented negative rates and then returned them to ‘normal’ territory. What can central bankers learn from the Swedish experience?
Rehn says ECB should adopt average inflation targeting
Finnish governor says current target has “asymmetric downward bias”
Sveriges Riksbank announces big QE boost
Swedish central bank increases size, scope and duration of asset purchases
Olli Rehn on AIT, market neutrality and EU fiscal policies
The Bank of Finland governor talks about the ECB’s strategy review, market failure on climate change, lessons from the sovereign debt crisis, and the Draghi legacy effect on Covid-19 responses
Ghana recovering faster than expected, says governor Addison
Growth has bounced back to double figures and inflation is expected to hit target by mid-2021
New Turkish governor presides over sharp rate rise
Erdoğan changes rhetoric to say country must be prepared to swallow “bitter pill” to beat inflation
Philippines central bank makes unexpected rate cut
Inflationary pressures are low and cut will boost confidence, central bank says
Kganyago says Sarb needs support from fiscal and macro policy
Governor says monetary policy cannot improve South Africa’s growth alone
Eurozone inflation remains at -0.3%
Persistent deflation will be key focus at next ECB policy meeting on December 10
Lower r* demands new ECB inflation target – economists
Average inflation targeting is one possible alternative, says Jordi Galí
Zambia MPC holds rates despite stability concerns
New governor notes a cut to interest rates would have been “expected”
Iceland cuts rates to new record low of 0.75%
Central bank revises down 2020 GDP forecasts by more than one percentage point to -8.5%
Book notes: The great demographic reversal, by Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan
An important book, predicting that powerful demographic forces will upend conventional thinking on macroeconomics and policy
Lagarde signals Covid-19 stimulus will remain active for longer
Asset purchases and bank lending programmes will be key ECB tools; rate cut not mentioned
Gold reserves in central banks – 2020 survey results
Reserve managers share their views on future gold holdings, target allocations, purchasing and storage approaches, the use of ETFs, and the impact of Covid-19, in the results of a new joint Central Banking-Invesco survey. By Nick Carver and Robert Pringle
Malawi’s central bank cuts interest rates as inflation outlook improves
Central bank projects annual inflation to fall below 9% this year
Currency Benchmarks 2020 report – the data behind the cash cycle
Perspectives on staffing, circulation, forecasting, fraud, substrate choice, outsourcing and climate risk