Capital flows
NBG paper develops early warning system for external risks
Georgia’s current account deficit and dollarisation create vulnerabilities, authors say
BIS paper pins down causal impact of capital flows
Study based on confidential BIS data finds capital controls can help prevent overheating
Maggiori, Neiman and Schreger on capital flows and Covid-19
The Global Capital Allocation Project sheds light on where vulnerabilities may lie
BIS tracks $1.1 trillion drop in cross-border claims
Lending surged and then fell back as banks reallocated funds during the Covid-19 crisis
G20 delays decision on poor countries’ debt relief
International efforts have been “unambitious, unco-ordinated and uneven” – prominent economists
IEO calls for IMF to rethink house view on capital controls
Independent review says 2012 reform was helpful but still suffers from shortcomings
Estimating the cost of a pandemic grant for the world’s poorest economies
The cost of support measures for vulnerable economies is manageable, says Steve Kamin
People: Denmark names board member; interim chief quits UK FCA
Appointments in Denmark and Singapore; departures in the UK and Namibia
Deeper EU capital markets will improve risk sharing - BdF paper
Researchers present new methodology to estimate cross-border financial risk sharing in the EU
The eurozone’s eastern conundrum
Bulgaria and Croatia expect net positive effect as they move to join euro, while others remain reluctant
Mexican sovereign debt faces tighter conditions - SF Fed paper
Liquidity premiums reached record highs in pandemic while foreign holdings fell, researchers find
Foreign financing can help exporters survive – BIS paper
Result could be important for the development of emerging economies, authors say
BoE paper outlines ‘capital flows-at-risk’ framework
Methodology allows researchers to explore full distribution of “push” and “pull” effects on capital flows
IMF needs new tool to deal with pandemic – former officials
Current programmes place too much emphasis on adjustment, two ex-officials argue
BIS stats show surge in cross-border lending during pandemic
Most of the money flowed to advanced economies and offshore centres, BIS says
After social distancing: prepare for national distancing
If the pandemic triggers production onshoring, international capital flows will come under a spotlight
EME financial markets are still vulnerable – BIS paper
Covid crisis has shown further market development work is needed, writes head of CGFS secretariat
Online machine learning can warn of impending crisis – Hélène Rey
Approach avoids some of the pitfalls of other methods, the economics professor says
Hélène Rey on macro-financial distortions and ‘phase 2’ of Covid-19
Economist speaks about policy distortions, debt and AI ‘early-warning’ models
EMEs should lower rates when faced with capital outflows – Fed research
Not cutting rates could worsen GDP and accelerate outflows, researchers find
Foreign exchange based macro-pru policies cut capital inflows – DNB paper
Data from 83 countries shows formal capital controls do not effectively reduce inflows – researchers
Capital controls less effective at curbing flows than macro-pru – BIS paper
Capital controls do not have significant impact on volume or composition of flows, authors find
Stress levels rising: investment funds and the Covid-19 shock
Extreme market stresses are underscoring central role non-banks play in crisis contagion
BoE paper explores global financial cycles since 1880
Cycles in credit and housing have become more pronounced, but only for some economies