Central Banking
China could trigger Treasuries selloff to punish US – paper
Beijing might sustain short-term self-harm to undermine US assets’ safe haven reputation, authors say
BIS study finds no long-term decline of global dollar use
Reports of euro’s demise are also greatly exaggerated, researchers say
HKMA to double renminbi funding quota
Measure comes as Hong Kong announces collaboration with mainland over city’s gold trading system
AI and tokenised finance are reshaping financial trust
Amro’s CEO Yasuto Watanabe argues that sustained policy attention is needed to ensure the foundation of trust remains resilient amid financial transformation
ECB and ESRB warn of financial stability risk from geopolitics
New model takes prediction data to show US domestic politics affecting eurozone financial markets
BoE’s Greene: impact of Fed easing on UK remains unclear
Spillovers via trade channel could push domestic inflation up or down, MPC member says
Trade liberalisation with China increased US wages – study
Fed researchers find ‘long-suspected’ benefits for labour market
BoJ holds rates as politics and sovereign bonds take spotlight
Decision closes out week in which JGB yields rose to historic highs after PM called snap election
Fed pivots to material risk – but what is it, exactly?
Top US bank regulator will prioritise risks that matter most, but they could prove hard to pinpoint
Derivatives hedging can weaken effect of capital rules – BIS paper
Banks increase use of credit default swaps when counter-cyclical buffers rise, study finds
BdF governor and Coinbase CEO clash over stablecoins at Davos
De Galhau warns of ‘full dollarisation’, while head of crypto exchange heralds dawn of ‘bitcoin standard’
Paper calls for ’systematic monitoring’ of cyber risks
Non-financial firms’ credit risk indicators not accounting for ‘sharp increase’ in incidents, say authors
Geopolitics a key focus for ECB supervisors – blog
European banks have fared well so far against shocks but must stay vigilant, senior officials write
BoK debuts bespoke AI for central bank use
Technology trained on Korean language inputs will aid research and compliance, Bank of Korea says
BNM holds policy and points to positive economic outlook
Malaysian central bank keeps rates at 2.75% and expects domestic growth momentum to continue
Supreme Court appears sympathetic to Cook
Conservative judges lament the way governor’s removal was handled and risks to Fed independence
Iran using Tether’s stablecoin to bypass sanctions, report finds
Central bank thought to be using USDT to buy rial on crypto exchanges as domestic currency plummets
Beige Books show promise at predicting recessions – study
LLM data on Fed reports is more accurate at forecasting downturns than yield spread, authors find
Fed study sounds alarm over algorithmic rises in credit limits
Researchers say US lenders are extending too much credit to subprime borrowers
Don’t count on central banks to buy public debt, says Lagarde
ECB president tells Davos panel that divergent global standards may puncture AI bubble
BI holds rates amid renewed concerns over its independence
Indonesian central bank says keeping rates at 4.75% will stabilise rupiah and encourage growth
Legal threat to Fed accelerates Asean+3 contingency planning
AMRO chief economist says central bank independence of paramount importance for stability
Bailey underscores support for Powell
BoE governor also points to potential spillover risks to UK from events in US
Croatia’s Vujčić to replace de Guindos as ECB vice-president
Governor will be executive board’s first member from a post-2004 EU accession state