Central Banking
BoE faces its toughest test in four years
Path to contain inflation from supply-side shocks is different compared with 2022–23
Backdrop to energy shock ‘more benign’ than in 2022 – Lagarde
ECB president says it is still too early to tell if rates will have to rise in response
Dirk Niepelt on the political economy of CBDCs
The BoE CBDC adviser discusses the social role of a retail digital currency versus commercial bank money and favours a remunerated approach
PBoC reserve ratio cut spurs short-term FX hedging
Removal of 20% forex risk rule drives exporters towards options and onshore forwards
Second-round effects from Iran war could persist – BoE’s Pill
Bank’s chief economist says ‘structural change’ in wage-setting behaviour warrants caution in policy
Fed should still ease policy amid energy shock – Miran
Governor says his outlook for four rate cuts this year remains unchanged
Economists expect BoK to tilt hawkish under Shin
Expert says new governor to bring ‘distinctly BIS-influenced framework’ to South Korean central bank
Rising reliance on internal auditors spooks regulators and industry
Risk managers warn US is substituting supervisors with auditors; could compromise independence
‘Rolling windows’ method may help evaluate big data forecasts
Barbara Rossi presents new approach at ECB’s AI conference
BIS study uncovers credit crunch driven by geopolitics
Paper finds that lending recovers more slowly than trade following shock events
Paraguay signals neutral stance with pause in easing cycle
Central bank expects inflation to rise to 3.5% target by end of year
PBoC’s Pan links China’s surplus to flaws in monetary order
Global imbalance result of one currency dominating international system, governor says
ECB expects growth, even in ‘most severe scenarios’ – de Guindos
Outgoing vice-president downplays chances of Lagarde finishing her term early
Hyun Song Shin nominated as Bank of Korea governor
BIS’s former top economist says he will helm central bank at ‘critical juncture’
US blows the floors off Basel III
Barr criticises 'downward deviations' in US rule; Bowman rejects 'blind adherence' to global standards
Russia eases amid Middle East conflict uncertainty
Central bank says it is too soon to estimate war’s likely impact on domestic economy
Czech Republic, Moldova, Sweden and Ukraine all hold
Riksbank also lowers rate for supplementary liquidity facility as liquidity starts to dry up
BIS authors say Bistro should be on central banks’ menu
Economists say new LLM is better at projecting inflation than standard econometric models
People: Austria nominates IMF executive director
Plus: Turkey’s former governor joins Canadian finance firm; new Bulgarian deputy nominated
Central banks in China, Hong Kong and Taiwan hold rates
Taiwan tilts hawkish, Hong Kong follows Fed and China expected to ease by 10bp this year
Interest rate crosswinds buffet IRRBB teams
Political intervention and rapid-fire law changes are skewering bank models for forecasting cashflows
ECB holds rates, predicts 2.6% inflation for 2026
Lagarde presents gloomy outlook for eurozone inflation and growth as energy prices spike
Bank of England holds rates and hints at hikes
MPC member says UK economy ‘damaged’ by energy shock as war triggers first unanimous vote since 2021
Brazil starts easing with cautious rate cut amid oil shock
BCB says Middle East conflict has intensified domestic inflation risks