Research
Norges Bank Inflation Report, June 2003
Norway's central bank, Norges Bank, has published its latest Inflation Report for June 2003. The report contains a review of developments in the Norwegian economy and other factors that influence the inflation outlook.
Paper: monetary policy rules vis a vis uncertainty
The author of this Bank of Canada Working paper, Gabriel Srour, explores the role that Taylor-type rules can play in monetary policy, given the degree of uncertainty in the economy. It is shown that if the degree of persistence of inflation in the…
Chicago Fed National Activity Index, May 2003
CFNAI Indicates Economic Activity Improved in May - The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI ) was -0.39 in May, a marked improvement from the downward-revised April level of -1.04. Most of the increase reflected better readings on the output…
Bank of Canada Financial System Review, Jun 2003
The Bank of Canada published its semi-annual Financial System Review on 25 June. The Canadian financial system has continued to display impressive resilience in the face of global financial stress. Pressure on the financial positions of Canadian firms…
Bank of England Financial Stability Review, Jun 03
The Bank of England published its latest Financial Stability Review for June 2003 on Thursday 26 June. It contains the Bank's regular half-yearly review of risks to financial stability and measures taken to strengthen the financial infrastructure,…
Philadelphia Fed Business Review, 2nd Quarter 2003
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has published its regular Business Review for the Second Quarter 2003. In the first article President Anthony Santomero asks: What is the root of the corporate governance problems that have recently gained the…
St Louis's Central Banker, Summer 2003
The Summer 2003 edition of the St. Louis Fed's Central Banker magazine has been published. The latest issue carries a feature about the St Louis Fed's "There's a Lot to Learn about Money" campaign. The Fed and the Treasury are once again teaming up to…
Norges Bank report on the decision-making process
David Longworth, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, and Asbjrn Rdseth, Professor of Economics at the University of Oslo, have evaluated the strategy documents for 2002 and other material submitted to the Norges Bank Board in connection with the…
Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report, May 2003
The Bundesbank said in its May 2003 monthly report that major uncertainty in the global economy and on the international financial markets, which peaked in the first quarter as the Iraq war was approaching, has since receded. This is reflected mainly by…
Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Summer 2003
The Bank of England released its Quarterly Bulletin, Summer 2003, on 20 June. The Bulletin includes articles entitled 'What caused the rise in the UK terms of trade?' and 'An analysis of the UK gold auctions 1999-2002'.
Bank of England Inflation Attitudes Survey, May 03
The Bank of England's May 2003 quarterly Inflation Attitudes Survey was published on 20 June. Asked for their expectations of inflation over the coming year, respondents gave the same median answer as for perceptions of current inflation: 2.0%. This is…
Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, Jun 2003
Manufacturing activity improved in June - Activity in the region's manufacturing sector improved modestly, according to the firms surveyed for June's Business Outlook Survey from the Philadelphia Fed. The reading for overall business activity increased…
Economic Review from the Atlanta Fed
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has published its Economic Review for the second quarter 2003. The latest edition includes an article titled 'Are On-Line Currencies Virtual Banknotes?'. This article examines the likely success or failure of on-line…
Bank of Japan Monthly Report, June 2003
The Bank of Japan published its Monthly Report of Recent Economic and Financial Developments, June 2003, on 13 June. In the report the BOJ said public investment is projected to follow a declining trend, and private consumption is likely to remain weak…
Reconciling Bagehot with Fed's response to Sept 11
Walter Bagehot, an elder statesman of central banking theory, stated that central banks should lend money at penalty rates to prevent bank panics. Yet the Fed lent for next to nothing following 9/11. Why this departure from received central banking…
HKMA Quarterly Bulletin, June 2003
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) on 12 June published the latest issue of its Quarterly Bulletin. This issue contains four feature articles including 'The Impact of Interest Rate Shocks on the Performance of the Banking Sector' which provides an…
Fed's- Beige Book: US economy struggling
The Federal Reserve Beige Book released 11 June said the US economy has struggled to gather pace since the end of the Iraq war and the performance of output and employment has been disappointing.
ECB Monthly Bulletin halves growth forecast
The European Central Bank published its June 2003 Monthly Bulletin on 12 June. It halved its growth forecast for the eurozone this year to just 0.7 per cent from 1.6 per cent. Inflation was projected at 2.0 per cent this year, slightly above earlier…
Duisenberg to G. d'Estaing on Constitution Treaty
Letter from the ECB President Wim Duisenberg to the President of the Convention, Valery Giscard d'Estaing, regarding the draft Constitutional Treaty, 5 June.
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement, June 2003
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has published its Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) for June 2003. New Zealand's economic growth has been strong and comparatively stable for an extended period, but it is now slowing to a more modest pace, the report said…
Sveriges Riksbank Inflation Report, No.2, 2003
Sweden's central bank published its Second Inflation Report for 2003 on 5 June. In the report the Riksbank said CPI inflation is expected to be 1.2 per cent one year ahead and 1.8 per cent two years ahead while the degree of uncertainty in the…
Book published on ECB's 2nd conference
The European Central Bank (ECB) has published a book entitled "The transformation of the European financial system", containing the proceedings (papers, discussants' comments and summaries of the general discussions) of the Second ECB Central Banking…
Brazil's Financial Resilience
A new working paper from Ilan Goldfajn, Katherine Hennings and Helio Mori of the Brazilian Central Bank asks how Brazil has escaped more or less unscathed in recent financial crises. Few state banks and many foreign ones may be a factor they argue.
Scrutinising central bank efficiency
The Swedish Central Bank has just hosted a conference on the subject of "central bank efficiency". The workshop was organized by Marten Blix Anders Vredin, and Sonja Daltung, all of the Riksbank.