Research
Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report, September 2003
The Deutsche Bundesbank published the English version of its September 2003 monthly report on 21 October. The German economy remained on a path of stagnation in the second quarter of 2003, the report says. Despite a number of positive signals, major…
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Sep 2003
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand published its quarterly Bulletin for September 2003. Among the articles is an annual review of developments affecting New Zealand's financial stability. In the review the RBNZ concludes that New Zealand's financial sector…
Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, Oct 2003
Activity in the region's manufacturing sector improved in October, according to firms polled for the Philadelphia Fed's Business Outlook Survey, October 2003. Most of the current indicators increased this month, the report finds, and manufacturers' six…
Federal Reserve Board - Beige Book, October 2003
The Federal Reserve Beige Book released on 15 October suggests that, on balance, the pace of economic expansion has picked up since the last report. Ten of the twelve districts indicate that activity has been expanding, while two--Boston and Cleveland-…
Central Banks and Supreme Courts by C Goodhart
This Working Paper from the Financial Markets Group claims that a significant, large part of the reason for the differing procedures of the legal and monetary policy bodies in the UK, USA, and EU derives from a political science root. How do you deal…
Bank of Japan Monthly Report, October 2003
The Bank of Japan published the English version of its Monthly Report of Recent Economic and Financial Developments, October 2003, on 17 October. The foundation for a gradual recovery in Japan's economy is being laid, as the environment for exports and…
Monetary policy in a changing environment
This was the theme of a series of papers presented at the Autumn Central Bank Economists' Meeting held at the BIS in Basel on 14-15 October 2002. The purpose of the meeting was to discuss challenges that central banks have faced in the current…
ECB Monthly Bulletin, October 2003
The European Central Bank published its October 2003 Monthly Bulletin on 9 October. The report said for the near future, risks to the main scenario of a gradual recovery appear to be broadly balanced. However, some risks to the sustainability of economic…
'The Region' : Minneapolis Fed September 2003
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis has published its regular magazine, The Region, for September 2003. The issue includes an interview with Allan H. Meltzer, author of A History of the Federal Reserve and architect of the Shadow Open Market…
Improving monetary policy with inflation targets
In the Bank of Canada Working Paper "A Simple Test of Simple Rules: Can They Improve How Monetary Policy is Implemented with Inflation Targets?" the authors evaluate whether an assortment of simple rules could improve how the Bank of Canada implements…
Bond markets and long-term interest rates
The European Central Bank published the second edition of a report entitled "Bond markets and long-term interest rates in European Union accession countries" on 6 October. This update presents the results of a recent survey, which was designed jointly by…
Payment systems in Russia
The Committee on Payment and Settlement Systems (CPSS) has published, under the aegis of the Bank for International Settlements, a reference work on payment systems in Russia, known as the Red Book. As part of this series, the Foreword says, the first…
Inflation differentials in the euro area
The European Central Bank has published a report entitled "Inflation differentials in the euro area: potential causes and policy implications" prepared by the Monetary Policy Committee of the European System of Central Banks. The report analyses the size…
Philadelphia Fed Business Review, 3rd Quarter 2003
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has published its regular Business Review for the Third Quarter 2003. In the first article President Santomero examines whether inflation targeting makes sense for the U.S. Other articles examine changes in the…
Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Autumn 2003
The Bank of England released its Quarterly Bulletin, Autumn 2003, on 26 September. The Bulletin includes articles titled 'Public expectations of UK inflation' and 'The optimal rate of inflation: an academic perspective'. The report also warns that…
Chicago Fed National Activity Index, August 2003
The latest Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2003 was published on 25 September indicates that economic activity slowed in August. The CFNAI was -0.28 in August, a deterioration from the upward revised July reading of +0.05.
Information acquisition & decisions in committees
This ECB Working Paper is a survey of the recent game theoretic literature on committee decision making. It considers theoretical work on the role of (i) strategic voting, (ii) costly information acquisition, (iii) conflicting interests, and (iv)…
St Louis Fed's Central Banker, Fall 2003
The Fall 2003 edition of the St. Louis Fed's Central Banker magazine has been published. The latest issue carries a report on what community bankers said at a recent meeting with the St. Louis Fed and other regulatory agencies on reducing regulatory…
Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, Sep 2003
Manufacturing firms reported an increase in new orders in September according to firms surveyed for the Philadelphia Fed's Business Outlook Survey, September 2003. New orders and shipments grew again this month, but employment declined, the survey said.
IMF says PMA not a central bank yet
The IMF has said in a press conference that the Palestine Monetary Authority is "not a central bank yet in that their role really is, at the present time, confined to banking supervision and also the holding of required reserves to banks operating in…
G10 ministers and CB governors meet in Dubai
Ministers and central bank governors of the Group of Ten met in Dubai and despite an improvement in the overall economic outlook, drew attention to the "significant internal and external imbalances that persist, which could weigh on the sustainability of…
IMFC statement on IMF and the global economy
Communique of the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the IMF Board of Governors which highlights the importance of "more balanced growth with orderly adjustment", "sustained and vigorous structural reforms" and "continued focus by the IMF…
Euro economic growth on pause
The euro area economy is stagnant but not in recession - yet - according to a new CEPR committee set up to date the euro-area business cycle. The committee seeks to emulate the NBER in the US, which has performed a similar role since 1980. Using data…
Transcript of the IMF's WEO press conference
Transcript of the IMF's September 2003 World Economic Outlook press conference in Dubai. Ken Rogoff, the IMF's Director of Research, says that "For the first time in a very long time we are reasonably optimistic about seeing a return to normal growth in…