Research
CGFS report on institutional asset management
The latest report from the Committee on the Global Financial System (CGFS) has been published. The report "Incentive structures in institutional asset management and their implications for financial markets" was prepared by a working group comprising…
EconSouth from the Atlanta Fed First Quarter 2003
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has published its regular online magazine, EconSouth, for the First Quarter 2003. The latest edition contains a feature "What's Different About This Recovery". The article looks at the concept of a "stealth recovery".
Chicago Fed National Activity Index, February 2003
CFNAI Shows Economic Growth Slowed in February - In February, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell below zero again after briefly turning positive in January. The monthly index came in at -0.62 in February, following January's upward…
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, March 03
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand published its quarterly Bulletin for March 2003 on 28 March. The latest issue contains five articles covering a broad range of central banking issues. Articles include 'The output gap and its role in monetary policy…
St Louis Fed Central Banker, Spring 2003
The Spring 2003 edition of the St. Louis Fed's Central Banker magazine has been published. The issue carries a report on the regional partnership being set up by the Cleveland and St.Louis Fed banks. There is also a feature on the condition of the…
IMF Global Financial Stability Report, March 2003
The International Monetary Fund published on 27 March its Global Financial Stability Report, the semiannual assessments of global financial markets. In the report the IM warned that a prolonged war in Iraq could hit global financial markets hard. The…
G-10 Working Group report on contractual clauses
The Report of the G-10 Working Group on Contractual Clauses (September 2002) hes been published in March 2003. The report sets out the key features of collective action clauses for sovereign bonds that the G10 Ministers and Governors believe would, if…
Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, Mar 2003
Activity in the region's manufacturing sector weakened in March, according to firms surveyed for March's Business Outlook Survey. This represents a deterioration from the basically flat performance in February. Indexes for general activity and new orders…
IMF: monetary policy for vulnerable economies
The IMF has issued a working paper on 'Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies', noting, inter alia, that emerging market economies are not financially robust and are unable to smooth out large external shocks. The paper examines…
IMF reviews book on ME monetary policy
IMF review of 'Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Regimes - Options for the Middle East', edited by Elina Cardoso and Ahmed Galal
Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Spring 2003
REPORT - The Bank of England released its Quarterly Bulletin, Spring 2003, on 21 March. The Bulletin includes an article on "Monetary policy and the zero bound to nominal interest rates" which suggests that a deflation situation is highly unlikely to…
Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report, February 2003
REPORT - The Bundesbank said in its February 2003 monthly report the recovery of the world economy slowed down noticeably in autumn 2002 even grinding to a halt in industrial countries. The report says this picture has changed little since the turn of…
Bank of England Inflation Attitudes Survey, Feb 03
REPORT - The Bank of England's February 2003 quarterly Inflation Attitudes Survey was published on 17 March. The survey measures public attitudes to inflation in the UK. The survey showed that the number of people satisfied with how the Bank is doing its…
Sveriges Riksbank Inflation Report, No.1, 2003
REPORT - Sweden's central bank has published its Inflation Report for the First Quarter 2003. In the report the Riksbank said this year inflation has risen more than anticipated, partly due to rising oil prices. The report says that the recovery slowed…
Gold may sustain highs over 2003
Research from Macquarie Research Equities argues that gold will maintain its strength throughout 2003, supported not only be war fears, but wider geopolitical worries.
IMF paper on Caribbean currency board idea
A currency union, based around a currency board model, is the way forward for the Caribbean region, a working paper released today by the IMF argues.
Banking - Hong Kong style
BOOK - The HKMA yesterday published the second of a series of background briefs designed to explain the workings of Hong Kong's monetary and banking systems. "Banking Supervision in Hong Kong" describes the main features of Hong Kong's banking system and…
HKMA Quarterly Bulletin, March 2003
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority's Quarterly Bulletin for March 2003 includes articles on the 'External Demand for Hong Kong Dollar Currency' and 'Alternative Measures of the Real Effective Exchange Rate'.
Richmond Fed top discount-rate hawk
Recent analysis of FOMC voting between 1993 and 2002 has shown that the Richmond Fed is the most hawkish of the regional Fed banks whilst the Dallas Fed was the greatest dove, according to a Reuters report. The research also showed that recommendations…
BIS Quarterly Review March 2003
REPORT - BIS Quarterly Review, International Banking and Financial Market Developments, March 2003. In the report the BIS paints a depressed picture of the global economy with the threat of a war in Iraq reducing investor confidence and equities in…
Role of expectations in estimates of the NAIRU
RESEARCH - The Bank of England Working Paper, "The role of expectations in estimates of the NAIRU in the United States and the United Kingdom" examines evidence for a change in the relationship between inflation and unemployment. Inflation expectations…
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement, March 2003
REPORT - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has published its Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) for March 2003. The report reflects on New Zealand's strength compared to other leading world economies. The expected slow down in NZ's economy has not occurred as…
Norges Bank Inflation Report, March 2003
REPORT - Norway's central bank published its latest Inflation Report on 5 March. The Bank says the outlook for growth has deteriorated since the October report and there are no signs of an imminent recovery. On the domestic front, the Norwegian economy…
Federal Reserve Board - Beige Book, March 2003
REPORT - The Federal Reserve Beige Book released 5 March said the U.S. economy "remained subdued" in the past two months as the prospect of war with Iraq constrained consumer and business spending, the Federal Reserve said in its latest survey of…